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In 2021, the number of applicants for recruiting researchers has reached a record high, but why is the growth rate the lowest in the last five years?
On the morning of December 26, the first exam of the National Admission Exam for the Master 2021 will begin. According to data published by the Ministry of Education, 3.77 million people applied for this exam and the number of applicants reached a record high.
At the same time, The Paper (www.thepaper.cn) noted that some media previously predicted that the number of applicants for national research recruitment in 2021 would reach 4.22 million, but the actual number of applicants was 450,000 less than the forecast; 360,000 people are also lower than the 510,000 people in 2020, and the growth rate of the number of applicants in 2021 is the lowest in the last five years.
Also, under the “income craze,” there have been many dropouts from research and recruitment exams in recent years.
Why is the total number of applicants and the absolute added value lower than expected?
According to the latest data released by China Education Online, from 2017 to 2021, the number of applicants for national research recruitment was 2.01 million, 2.38 million, 2.9 million, 3.41 million and 3.77 million, respectively. The number of applicants increased by 240,000 and 37, respectively, over the previous year. 10,000, 520,000, 510,000, and 360,000, and the applicant growth rates were 13.56%, 18.4%, 21.8%, 17.59%, and 10.56%.
In other words, the absolute increase in the number of applicants in 2021 is 360,000, which is less than the 510,000 in 2020, and the growth rate of applicants in 2021 is the lowest in the five years since 2017.
What does this data show?
Chen Zhiwen, editor-in-chief of China Education Online, said in an interview with The Paper that the growth rate of applicants in 2021 is low. This is because the base number of research recruits has been high in recent years, and the growth rate will inevitably fall.
“On the contrary, what most deserves attention is the absolute increase in the number of applicants.” Chen Zhiwen pointed out that in terms of absolute growth, the absolute increase in the number of applicants in 2021 is 360,000, 150,000 less than the absolute increase in 2020.. Furthermore, before the Ministry of Education announced the number of applicants for research and recruitment in 2021, there were forecasts and rumors online that the number of applicants in 2021 was 4.22 million. It can be seen that the number of applicants and the absolute increase in the number of applicants for research recruitment in 2021 are lower than people’s expectations.
Chen Zhiwen believes that, in fact, there may be a number of factors that have affected the increase in the number of candidates for the recruitment of researchers in 2021.
Regarding the reasons why the number of enrollment candidates in 2021 is less than social expectations, Chen Zhiwen analyzed the following aspects: First, in 2020, the enrollment of graduate students will be expanded by almost 200,000, and will be restored. the second system of undergraduate training. These two policies have absorbed some people who want to pursue graduate studies or continue their studies. Second, since the epidemic, the Ministry of Education has done everything possible to solve the employment problem of university students and has issued a document to encourage various universities to develop research assistant positions to absorb the employment of students. graduates. Research assistant positions can absorb some graduates who want to continue their studies.
In other words, a large number of university graduates have already entered the graduate education stage or have started to engage in scientific research through these channels, and they do not need to join the graduate entrance examination in 2021.
Third, factors such as the global epidemic have not had a major impact on the willingness of graduates to study abroad.
A few days ago, at a press conference of the Ministry of Education, Liu Jin, Director of the Department of International Cooperation and Exchanges of the Ministry of Education and Director of the Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan Office, stated that to alleviate the problem of Study abroad hampered by the epidemic, the Ministry of Education promoted 94 universities and institutions jointly organized by China and foreign countries. And in the temporary extension of the project, a total of 3031 people were admitted.
Chen Zhiwen pointed out that this actually means that only a very small proportion of the hundreds of thousands of students planning to study abroad have chosen to study in China. “In 2019, the number of people studying abroad exceeded 700,000. Judging from the annual increase from 60,000 to 70,000 people studying abroad in China, the number of people planning to travel abroad in 2020 should be higher. than 2019, and the ratio of 3,031 students is actually negligible.In their analysis, the vast majority of students planning to study abroad have not joined the national army of graduate entrance examinations.
Also, Chen Zhiwen pointed out that another important reason is that most modern families are relatively prosperous, and many college graduates do not feel the pressure of employment and survival, and there is no sense of urgency to not work or study more. They choose to be unemployed or delay in getting a job rather than taking a graduate entrance exam.
Furthermore, Chen Zhiwen pointed out that although the number of graduates and the number of candidates for graduate studies has increased in recent years, the number of students with the ability, level or interest in scientific research remains limited and it is impossible for all to go to graduate school.
“But the number of graduate entrance exams should continue to rise in the next few years, and it is not impossible that it will eventually pass the 5 million mark,” predicted Chen Zhiwen.
The “entry craze” remains high and the proportion of applicants from previous years has expanded
Over the past five years, the number of applicants and the number of graduates enrolled has increased year over year, but the gap in the enrollment ratio has widened and competition for graduate entrance exams has become more intense.
According to data released by China Education Online, from 2017 to 2019, the number of graduate students enrolled nationwide was 722,200, 762,500, and 811,300, and the enrollment rates were 2.9: 1, 3.1: 1, and 3.6: 1 .
According to the China Youth Daily report, by 2020, the number of graduate students will expand to 189,000 and the number of students will exceed 1.1 million. Based on this calculation, the 2020 graduate student enrollment ratio is approximately 3.1: 1; if no graduate enrollment expansion takes place in 2020, the enrollment ratio is approximately 3.7: 1.
In the growing force of graduate entrance exams, in addition to recent graduates, there are more and more alumni. On the night of December 23, a former student who applied for the 2021 graduate school exam was reported a case of asymptomatic infection of the novel coronavirus in the Shunyi district of Beijing.
China Education Online’s “2020 National Graduate Admissions Survey Report” noted that due to increasing employment pressure and gradual improvement of the part-time enrollment system, the share of previous graduates in the number of entrance exams Graduate studies are constantly increasing. From 2016 to 2020, the proportion of former students in the postgraduate entrance exams in Liaoning Province increased from 34.5% to 41.8%. From 2016 to 2019, the share of previous graduates in the number of graduate entrance exams in Hubei province increased from 34.45% to 39.43%.
It is not uncommon for people to drop out because researchers recruit “hot tests.” The document noted that a few days before the exam, many people on social media platforms said they had stopped taking the 2021 graduate exam.
This situation also exists in previous years. The “2020 National Graduate Admissions Survey Report” noted that while the number of graduate entrance exams continues to grow, the dropout rate for graduate entrance exams in many regions and universities exceeds 10%. For example, in the 2019 graduate exam in Guangdong Province, the number of candidates was about 140,000, and the actual number of people who took the exam was about 124,000, and the dropout rate reached about 11%. . The drop-out rate for graduate exams in Liaoning Province in 2019 also reached around 11%. The 2019 online report from Shenzhen University confirmed that 16,019 people and nearly 2,000 dropped out of the exam and the dropout rate reached 12%.
The newspaper learned in an interview that there are several main reasons why candidates drop the exam before taking the exam: they have already planned to work or have an ideal job opportunity; they feel they are not ready this year and plan to resign or next year “World War II”; due to personal or family accidents Dropout of additional studies due to changes; incumbents should give up when they encounter conflicts between exams and work.
Growing news reporter Cheng Ting and intern Chen Shishi
