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Original Caption: Beijing’s New Auto Lottery Policy Will Be Implemented Next Year, With Experts Calling “For Purchasing Restrictions To Be Relaxed”
“Buy a license, report home registration, age and gender.”
On the afternoon of December 7, when a reporter from the 21st Century Business Herald asked how to handle the transfer of the Beijing brand index, the second-hand car dealer Liu sent the above content to the reporter.
“There is still more than 20 days left. There is still a lot of time to do this year, and there will be new policies next year.” Later, Lao Liu sent another WeChat message to the reporter.
Lao Liukouzhong’s new policy is that on the morning of December 7, the Beijing Municipal Communications Commission officially issued the “Beijing Provisional Regulation on the Number of Passenger Cars” and the “Beijing Provisional Regulation on the Number of Passenger Cars. passenger cars “(revised in 2020). , The New Deal will be implemented on January 1, 2021.
The biggest difference from current policy is that the New Deal will promote the orderly recall of the second or more passenger cars registered in the city in the name of an individual. The Beijing Municipal Transportation Commission stated that the Small Passenger Vehicle Index is a limited public social resource and the principle that “each person can retain at most one index” should be established.
Among them, “a person with several cars” or “going home” can only choose one of them to update the indicators, but the vehicle can be used as personal property until it is scrapped. At the same time, individuals with multiple vehicles in their name can apply online to transfer registered surplus vehicles to eligible spouses, parents, and children.
More importantly, to crack down on Beijing’s small passenger car indicator buying and selling behavior through the “marriage transfer” and other illegal behavior, as of January 1, 2021, the husband and wife car exchange record and divorced car transfer record. The condition for the marriage to last one year.
The New Deal has raised the cost of “fake marriage transfers” and some people have “increased their offers” too much and are eager to take action.
Experts call for “restrictions on purchases to be relaxed”
Indeed, from an industry perspective, behind the gray trade in passenger car indicators is a microcosm of increasingly unbalanced supply and demand for passenger car indicators since Beijing implemented the lottery policy of automobiles. The fundamental problem behind this is the increasingly severe traffic congestion in the city after the linear growth of car ownership.
In order to control traffic congestion in Beijing, on December 23, 2010, the “Beijing Provisional Regulation on the Number of Passenger Cars” came into force. Beijing has also become the first city in China to implement the need for lottery numbers for the purchase of passenger cars.
In January 2011, at the beginning of the implementation of the policy, the profit rate for passenger cars was 1: 10.6 In the last phase of the passenger car index setup in early October this year, the chance of winning reduced to 1: 3120.
In order to meet the travel needs of more citizens, the New Deal has added an index assignment method that uses “car-free families” as a unit for lottery numbers and ranking points. Based on the draft policy on the number of passenger cars in June 2020, the New Deal adjusted the proportion of new energy indicators for households and established a three-year transition period. In 2021, 60% of the new energy passenger car allocation indicators will give priority to “car-free families”.
“In general, the New Deal has changed the rules for the allocation of indicators. In fact, the rules are being adjusted every year and the total amount has not changed. So the main solution is how to ‘cut the cake’. Looking at it Now, it is a great benefit for local car-free families. ”On the afternoon of December 7, Cui Dongshu, general secretary of the Joint National Passenger Car Market Information Council, said in an interview with reporters.
The New Deal will improve the current car-use hardship for “car-free families” in Beijing to some extent, but the main cause of urban congestion and lottery air pollution still cannot be significantly alleviated.
“The implementation of car purchase restrictions is not a long-term strategy to address traffic problems.” An industry expert familiar with the policy told reporters that international experience shows that in order to control traffic congestion, we must take measures that include vigorous development of rail traffic, optimization of urban structure, and improved management. of traffic. And strengthening the construction of infrastructure, implementing automobile consumption policies that incentivize the purchase and guide economic use, and implementing regional vehicle restrictions (such as the establishment of low-emission zones) are a package of subsystem projects.
“It is not in line with the spirit of the central government to restrict the purchase of cars as the main means of regulating car consumption. If this practice continues during the period of the ‘XIV Five Year Plan’, it is not in line with the spirit of the government. central”.
It is understood that this year’s “XIV Five-Year Plan” proposal proposed: promote the transformation of consumer goods such as automobiles from purchasing management to use management. Some industry experts believe that this “transition” means that the fulcrum of future automotive policies will be more use-oriented and that some restrictions on purchasing will be relaxed.
At the same time, on October 19, the National Development and Reform Commission held a regular press conference. Press spokesman Meng Wei also said: “The next step will promote the continued growth of the consumption of bulk goods and services, promote the transformation and improvement of automobile consumption, and promote the restriction of the purchase of automobiles to guide the use of automobiles. Change and encourage localities to introduce policies to promote old car replacement. “
In the opinion of the aforementioned experts, implementing passenger car purchase management is not a long-term solution. As a government manager, you must accelerate “recovery lessons” while restricting purchases, learn advanced international experience, improve urban infrastructure, and optimize urban management; Use fiscal policies and other means to gradually guide the transformation of consumer goods such as automobiles from purchasing management to usage management.
It is worth noting that the Beijing Transportation Commission also stated that the relevant departments will further study and demonstrate the implementation of the city’s master plan for policy recommendations, such as congestion charges and suburban license plates that have a large demand.
“From the perspective of technology and management methods, there is no difficulty in improving the traffic environment by charging congestion charges, but the key is how to change the mindset of consumers, which requires an adaptation process Cui Dongshu said.
“Competition” between stock and increase
According to the latest data from the Ministry of Transportation, as of the end of 2019, the number of motor vehicles in Beijing has exceeded 6.36 million, ranking first in the country.
The Beijing Annual Transportation Development Report released by the Beijing Transportation Development Institute shows that Beijing’s traffic congestion coefficient fell from 6.14 in 2010 to 5.48 in 2019, which is considered “congestion mild”. Under the purchasing restriction policy, Beijing’s “congestion control” appears to be effective.
However, according to policy, disputes continue. For the auto industry, car purchase restrictions have also restricted car consumption, especially for the Chinese auto market, which has been declining overall since 2018.
So far, there are six cities and one province in China’s car purchase restrictions: Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Tianjin, Hangzhou, Shenzhen, and Hainan Province. The relaxation of purchase restrictions and the promotion of consumption have thus become the voice of the automotive industry.
West China Securities predicts that currently, pent-up demand in buy-restricted cities across the country exceeds 8 million. If digested gradually over five years, it is expected to contribute around 1.6 million vehicles to the market each year and contribute about 6% to the growth rate of the auto industry. If the purchasing restriction policy is gradually liberalized and real demand is reflected, the automobile market will open up more space for development.
Since 2019, in order to stabilize car consumption, the relevant departments have repeatedly mentioned the relaxation of restrictions on the purchase of cars in their policies.
In January 2019, ten ministries and commissions, including the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Transportation, jointly issued the “Implementation Plan to further optimize supply to promote stable consumption growth and promote the formation of a strong domestic market (2019) “, proposing” Optimized measures for managing restrictions on the purchase of motor vehicles “to promote automobile consumption.
In June 2019, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the “Implementation Plan to promote the improvement and improvement of the use of recycling of unblocked resources (2019-2020)” of the National Development and Reform Commission. New energy vehicles are subject to traffic and purchase restrictions, and those that have been implemented must be canceled.
In fact, there have been tentative actions in many places to relax car buying restrictions. For example, Guangzhou and Hangzhou have recently added tens of thousands of car purchase indicators. In addition to increasing car purchase quotas, Shenzhen has also relaxed restrictions on car purchase qualifications. The largest and most comprehensive move to relax the car purchase restriction is Guiyang. On September 12, 2019, Guiyang Municipal Government announced the cancellation of the car lottery policy, becoming the first city in the provinces and cities to currently implement the purchase restriction policy to completely cancel the purchase restriction. .
However, how to further stimulate consumer enthusiasm for car consumption and allow local governments to solve the congestion problem caused by the increase in license plates is also a problem to be addressed after the implementation of future policies.
(Author: Du Qiaomei Editor: Fang Ming Package)
