Shenhua qualifying analysis: lose to Tokyo without death penalty and advance to final two rounds

Original title: Shenhua: Lost to Tokyo ranking analysis without death penalty, will advance to final two rounds of victory

When Shanghai Shenhua lost to Tokyo FC in a 1-2 match, the whistle blew and ended the fourth round of AFC Group F. Shenhua, who originally ranked second in the group, was overtaken by Tokyo FC. With the remaining two rounds, although it is more difficult to qualify, if the last two rounds can be won, Shenhua will still have the right to qualify.

Did you lose the game on the edge of the precipice and give up the initiative?

In the last round, Shenhua beat the Tokyo FC team with a penalty from Yu Hanchao, which allowed the team to reach 6 points, and the ranking surpassed the rival to ascend to second place. In this game, the two teams ushered in a back-to-back game. Before the game, Shenhua led Tokyo FC by 2 points. After the leader of South Korea’s Ulsan Hyundai defeated Australia’s Perth Glory once again, the South Korean team continued to lead with 10 points, and Perth Glory with 0 points already said goodbye to the classification.

In this case, the game between Shenhua and Tokyo FC can be described as a game on the edge of a cliff. Whoever defeats the opponent on either team will stay away from the cliff and kick the opponent closer to the edge of the cliff. For Shenhua, if the match is a draw, they can also accept it. However, a defeat caused Shenhua to be overtaken by Tokyo FC. Does this mean that they have already given up the initiative to classify?

Shenhua forced himself into a dead end, the last two rounds must win

Not really. After this loss, Shenhua’s points were still 6 points, while Tokyo FC increased the points to 7 points, beating Shenhua in the group standings by 1 point, ranking second, and Shenhua fell to third. With two rounds remaining in the group competition, it seems Shenhua has not been able to control his qualifying destiny, but he has not.

After all, Shenhua won the last two rounds and the points will reach 12 points. At that time, Ulsan Hyundai can get 13 points maximum, if Ulsan Hyundai has 13 points, Tokyo FC can only get 10 points maximum. If Tokyo FC wins the last two rounds and scores 13 points, then Ulsan Hyundai can only get 10 points maximum. If Tokyo FC draws with Ulsan Hyundai in the next round, Tokyo FC could score up to 11 points at the end, and Ulsan Hyundai would also have a maximum of 11 points. Shenhua with 12 points would instead become the first of the group. But this is all based on Shenhua’s last two winning rounds, and final opponents include Ulsan Hyundai, so Shenhua actually forced himself to take a “dead road.”

Shenhua must win the next round to keep hope until the last round

Regardless of how tough the last two consecutive victories are, Shenhua must first defeat Perth in the next game to qualify. After defeating the tail of the Australian Super League team, Shenhua will score 9 points. If Tokyo FC fail to beat Ulsan Hyundai, Shenhua will overtake Tokyo in qualifying and have a psychological advantage before the final round. If Tokyo FC beat Ulsan Hyundai, Ulsan and Tokyo have 10 points and Shenhua 9. In the final round, Shenhua will put great pressure on Ulsan and Tokyo for points, and the opponent may also collapse.

If Shenhua cannot win the next round, even if Tokyo fails to defeat Ulsan Hyundai, Shenhua will beat Ulsan Hyundai in the last round after two consecutive losses, and it will be more difficult to defeat the opponent.

Therefore, for Shenhua, the loss to Tokyo FC cannot be changed, but they have not been sentenced to death. The first thing they have to do is adjust their physical and mental state, and they must win the glory of Perth in the next game. It will become clear again. (Yang Xixi)Return to Sohu to see more