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Produced | Sohu Health
Author | Wu shinan
Edit | Yuan Yue
“The issue discussed today is the pain point. I think on a global scale, no pain will be better than this year’s new corona epidemic.” At the 2020 Tencent Medical ME Conference held on November 8, the Huashan Hospital affiliated with Fudan University was infected. The section director, Zhang Wenhong, said bluntly that the whole world is suffering from the disaster caused by this epidemic.
In a speech of more than 20 minutes, Zhang Wenhong reviewed the development trend of the new corona epidemic, summarized various strategies for the prevention and control of the global epidemic, and explained the role of the new corona vaccine in the prevention and control of the epidemic.
The epidemic trend of the new corona epidemic is more similar to the pandemic of a hundred years ago.
Before the arrival of this summer, the debate on whether the new coronavirus will disappear after the temperature rises like the SARS virus is all over the place. But now, hardly anyone brings up this topic, and everyone even thinks that the new corona virus will become a “resident guest” in human society. The reason is that the epidemic trend of the new coronavirus is not consistent with the SARS of that year.
Zhang Wenhong pointed out that since the outbreak of the global epidemic in March this year, the trend of the new corona epidemic is not a trend that can be stopped in the summer as SARS shows, but a trend of global spread. This situation is characterized only by (Spain) only during the pandemic.
After analyzing articles published in the leading medical journal “Science” on a comprehensive analysis of the Indian epidemic, Zhang Wenhong discovered that in India, the new corona epidemic was mainly caused by the widespread activities of young people that caused the spread of the epidemic in India. Specifically for each age group, the spread of the new coronavirus has shown a trend of horizontal transmission, that is, the virus has spread widely among people in close contact with all age groups.
“This is exactly the typical feature of the pandemic period after the epidemic has spread globally.” Zhang Wenhong pointed out that in this case, how to stop the epidemic will be discussed today.
China’s experience is running faster than the virus
Controlling the epidemic requires prevention and control strategies and experience. Zhang Wenhong pointed out that China can control the epidemic in a short time if it is based on a strategy that runs faster than the virus.
“In fact, Wuhan’s experience in epidemic prevention and control at first cannot be called experience.” Zhang Wenhong candidly said that when our medical team opened to Wuhan, there was not a very complete final experience. They were all in constant contact with the virus. Trained in fighting. Now, when sporadic cases are discovered, we can almost control them in a month, as in Beijing, Dalian and Qingdao. This relies on rapid centralized monitoring, while testing large populations and even expanding the scope of testing until all cases are found.
“If you don’t run faster than the virus, the virus will spread in turn. You have to ask yourself if you have enough medical resources to get the epidemic under control again,” Zhang Wenhong stressed.
Judging by the current data, Zhang Wenhong believes that the second wave of foreign epidemics has indeed increased. But these countries have also developed their own anti-epidemic strategies, especially some countries in Europe.
“Its anti-epidemic strategy has always been in a dynamic balance.” Zhang Wenhong explained that China is eliminating the virus in a short period of time, while European countries cannot eliminate the virus in the short term, so a strategy has emerged that coexists with the virus. But the death rate must be lowered. “In a sense, we believe that these two strategies are appropriate for our country.”
Will the new coronavirus disappear after the vaccine comes out?
Almost everyone is waiting for a popular weapon this year: the vaccine. But the question is again: once the vaccine is applied, will there be no new coronavirus in the world?
“No.” Zhang Wenhong pointed out that countless vaccines have been born in the world, including measles vaccine, chickenpox, flu vaccine, etc., but measles, chickenpox and flu have not disappeared, so the birth of vaccines does not mean that we have completely solved it. Issue.
In Zhang Wenhong’s opinion, the birth of the vaccine will bring with it a third strategy for the prevention and control of the new corona epidemic, which is to vaccinate some high-risk groups. Once the most dangerous groups are protected, the mortality rate of the entire social group will be reduced considerably. At this point, you can start to welcome the world reset.
“Today, I think we have passed the darkest moment, the sunrise has appeared in the distance from the ground plane, and we will eventually come out of the darkest moment,” said Zhang Wenhong.
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