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Original caption: Trump is diagnosed with the new crown, but is it bad news for Biden?
Even if the condition worsens
Trump may not be public
Photo / Screenshot from Fox TV NewsJournalist / Cao Ran
In the early morning hours of October 2, US time, US President Trump confirmed via social media that he and his wife Melania have tested positive for the new corona virus and will begin the self-isolation and rehabilitation. Earlier in the day, Trump revealed that his senior assistant, Hope Hicks, was diagnosed with new symptoms on the crown.
Hicks has accompanied Trump to public events many times in recent days and did not wear a mask except for Tuesday’s television debate. On September 30, Hicks accompanied Trump’s team to Minnesota for a campaign rally. He had mild symptoms when he returned and was quarantined on board.
Earlier, Trump repeatedly declared that the new corona epidemic, which has infected more than 7 million Americans, is “coming to an end,” mocking the recommendations of anti-epidemic scientists and accusing Democratic governors of excessively tight locking measures. In Tuesday’s television debate, he still questioned the effectiveness of wearing masks, poking fun at Democratic presidential candidate Biden’s obsession with wearing masks and lockdown policies for “hurting the US economy.”
High risk patients?
Studies have shown that new coronavirus patients with a higher viral load are more seriously ill and have a higher transmission capacity. According to CNN, several members of the White House staff tested positive for nucleic acid after Hicks’ diagnosis. The addition of Trump and Melania shows that Hicks may be infected with the new corona virus. A person close to Hicks also revealed to the US media that Hicks himself “feels that (the condition) is very bad.”
Additionally, data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention shows that, as in other countries, deaths from new coronary heart disease in the United States are primarily concentrated in elderly patients. The mortality rate for patients over the age of 85 ranges from 10% to 27%, and the mortality rate for patients aged 65 to 84 years is 3% to 11%.
However, Diao Daming, associate professor at the Renmin University School of International Relations of China, told China News Weekly that the current condition of Trump, 74, is probably not serious: “If it is serious, I should state that he cannot fulfill his duties. ” The vice president now acts on his behalf. “
It’s worth noting that Trump’s MP Pence also has frequent contacts with Hicks. If Pence also does not fulfill his functions, according to the order stipulated by the US Constitution, the presidential powers will be assumed by the speaker of the House of Representatives and Democrat Pelosi, who was denounced by Trump as a “crazy person. “By their political logic, even if his condition worsens, it may not be open to the public,” Diao Daming said.
At about 1 a.m. On October 2 local time, Trump’s medical team announced to the US media: “The President and the First Lady are currently in good health. They plan to stay in the White House to recover. President to continue during the recovery period. Fulfill your duties. “
Trump controls the electoral agenda
When Trump announced the diagnosis, Democratic presidential candidate Biden’s social media account was still topped with information from the day before: an indictment of Trump’s ineffective epidemic prevention policies.
In recent days, the only close contact between Biden and Trump’s team was Tuesday’s presidential election debate. However, the debate strictly followed epidemic prevention standards. With the exception of the host and the two presidential candidates, everyone in the venue wore masks and maintained social distance. The place with capacity for more than 900 people only has capacity for 170 people. During the debate, Biden and Trump did not have close contact, such as shaking hands.
However, Biden and the Democrats should be more concerned that the campaign may no longer continue as planned. Previously, “the ineffective prevention of the Trump epidemic has caused more than 200,000 deaths” has been a key argument in the Biden campaign. In the first television debate, he faced the camera and emphasized to the American people: “Think about it, every morning when you wake up, the table is empty and your loved one has died for the new crown.”
But now Trump is diagnosed. “For Biden’s team, not only will it be difficult to charge him with inadequate epidemic prevention and self-sustainability going forward, but the entire attack on Trump will reduce the fire.” Diao Daming analyzed China News Weekly, “For Biden In other words, the best strategy for next month is to promote yourself more and criticize your opponent less.”
However, this is the weakness of Biden’s team. Zogby, a senior American pollster, once concluded that Biden’s campaign strategy is to “wait for Trump to make mistakes,” but this also leaves Biden lacking in the political highlights to attract voters. Tuesday’s television debate once again demonstrated Biden’s weakness. When he repeated the economic revitalization plan that was not so different from the Trump administration’s to incentivize local American businesses, Trump strangled him: “Why didn’t you do it in the Obama era?”
On the contrary, Trump has more initiative. Diao Daming noted that she may be absent from the two televised debates for physical reasons. “Of course, if you recover from the disease, you can also choose to return to the campaign stage in the third televised debate, but this will give the opponent an opportunity to blame himself. It is better to announce his recovery after missing both. debates “. Diao Daming Said: “In short, Trump really controls the campaign agenda, which is in his favor.”
The truth is that before Trump announces his recovery, the campaign for the 2020 US presidential elections will be stagnant, a new situation that has never occurred in the history of the United States.
“Some people say the keyword in this election is ‘sympathy.’ So now, Trump has gotten ‘sympathy,'” Diao Daming told China News Weekly.
