New research suggests that U.S. There were already 6.4 million cases of coronavirus in mid-April – more than officially reported by Thursday.
Researchers at the University of California, Berkeley calculated that the CDC The actual number of infections as of April 18 is nine times higher than the 712,000 reported by, which is believed to be largely secret due to inadequate or inaccurate testing.
As of Sept. 10, 6.38 million U.S. dollars were spent, according to Johns Hopkins University figures. The case was confirmed.
U.S. There has been a significant increase in testing – but now many people would have had coronavirus by spring, as has now been confirmed, the number of actual cases has remained a mystery, and probably much higher.
That’s a terrible perspective on the early spread of coronavirus – but the side note is that if the case were higher than the Berkeley team’s estimate by April, and about 20 percent of people needed antibodies to reach animal immunity, the U.S. Closer than previously thought.
As of April, the number of confirmed coronavirus cases was in close proximity to states such as New York and Washington, Washington (green), where inequality is high in places like California and Texas (dark blue). Then spiked
UC Berkeley Scientists have calculated that the U.S. In the U.S. The actual number of coronavirus infections is three to 20 times higher than the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) of cases confirmed on April 18.
Inequality was widely observed from state to state, and as a result, estimates of the number of actual national cases of their mathematical model were similar.
As of April 18, the U.S. conducted a total of 146,156 coronavirus tests, according to data from the Covid Tracking Project.
Today, the U.S. In 614,042 tests were performed – four times more than in April.
President Donald Trump boasted on April 27 that the U.S. had tested for coronavirus ‘more than any country combined’.
But a new study found ‘incomplete’ testing accounted for 86 percent of the undercount of coronavirus tests as of April 18th.
Granted, part of the improper testing was in the U.S. But in the early months of the epidemic, when the CDC sent out defective tests, private sector kits began to enter the market and there was outrage over the lack of testing. US abundance.
The UC Berkeley authors attributed the remaining 14 percent inequality between their April case estimates and the CDC’s inappropriate tests.
U.C. Most scientists were not investigating enough people to get an accurate estimate of coronavirus cases in the spring, according to Berkeley scientists, who suggest the infection is nine times higher than the official count by April 18.
Aside from inappropriate tests, during the first few months before the epidemic, the CDC recommended that coronavirus test only people with symptoms.
At the time, only related symptoms were considered fever, persistent cough, and difficulty breathing.
Most states complied with the recommendation, which was made to protect large quantities of tests that were still in short supply, and in part to limit further exposure to test sites.
But now, research suggests that 30 to 70 percent of people with COVD-19 have no symptoms anywhere or only mild ones develop.
Plus, with a better understanding of the effects of COVID-19, the list of symptoms associated with the infection includes many people who have previously experienced nausea, vomiting, headaches, and loss of taste and smell.
UC Berkeley study authors write that U.S. A significant number of mild or asymptomatic infections cannot be detected in.
As a sign of COVID-19, the CDC was not the only one to discourage Americans from taking serious symptoms right now; President Trump dismissed the disease as “like the flu.”
Interviews with Bob Woodward show that Trump knew better. The president told Woodward that he knew the coronavirus was more deadly than the flu back in February – but did not want to create ‘panic’ by talking about the true severity of the epidemic.
Some states, such as New York, now encourage anyone to get tested for coronavirus. The CDC says that ‘not everyone needs testing’, and recommends testing for people who have symptoms, who are in contact with Covid-1 or who have been instructed to get tested by their health care provider or local health department. Has come.
Despite a large increase in testing, a recent report from the Rockefeller Foundation and Duke University suggests that the U.S. needs to take about 200 million tests a month. Now about 20 crores are being run in a month.
UC Berkeley could not be reached for comment by the authors, or an advanced estimate of how many people have Covid-19.
However, if no infection was reported after the end of their study period on April 18, the U.S. If his estimate of the case is correct, his model suggests that more than 12 million Americans have Covid-19.
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