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Dr Petar Markov, an epidemiologist and lecturer at Oxford, announced alarming data on COVID-19 and Bulgaria to BNR. He also pointed out why our country is on the black top.
“What we are seeing across Europe is an increase in the number of confirmed cases – almost everywhere – for more than a month, in some places this increase is significant and in others less.
In this context, Bulgaria does not seem to increase the number of new cases at all, but the reason why the European Centers for Disease Control has ranked Bulgaria among the 5 countries of interest is the fact that, despite the number of confirmed cases is not growing, the death toll has barely stopped growing, ”he said.
In the “Week 150” program, the doctor pointed out that, unlike other countries such as France or Spain, where the number of infections is growing dramatically, they have a very slow increase in the number of deaths:
“There are several reasons for this contrast, one of them is that in Western Europe they are much better able to treat seriously ill people. On the other hand, the profile of newly infected people is much younger, the average age is much younger. low. while this is not the case with us. “
According to him, the number of infected cases in Bulgaria is likely to be less real and “we may lose many infected; the best indicator is the number of deaths”.
And since in Western Europe the new cases are in younger people, that’s probably why mortality is lower there.
“On our surface, it seems that there is no increase in cases, in the context of the increase in deaths, I deeply doubt that the number of infections is not increasing,” said the expert.
He added that in Bulgaria the level of awareness among older people that they should care and be careful is probably lower: “And this is very important.”
“If you look at the statistics on the number of infected, in Europe you will see that they are growing a lot everywhere – for example, France and Spain, it is obvious that we have a second wave – in some places it is higher than the first,” he said. Mr. Markov.
He also pointed out that what can be seen of the dynamics of the spread of the virus since spring, summer and so far, showed that the virus is not as affected by climate and temperature changes:
“On the contrary, most of the countries that had imposed strict closure measures, which in most places fell in mid-May, about a month later we already saw an increase, in mid-summer. And this shows that the The reason for this increase is the cessation of strict measures to limit the spread of the virus. And this is not surprising, it was expected, “added Markov.
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