[ad_1]
The ruling coalition is likely to become an electoral coalition from GERB, UDF, NFSB, VMRO, and may attract other small parties. And he will probably win the election. This is the sociologist’s forecast Andrey Raichev at the end of the year.
Raichev highlighted the movement of Borissov’s rating during the year – from low at the beginning, to high – almost 60% in April during the first shutdown of the country due to the pandemic, to a big collapse in the summer and close to resignation. Now, at the end of 2020, there are stabilization and GERB is projected to be the leading party.
Confidence in the electoral process: a dangerous game with embers
An excessive play on the issue of trust in elections can pose a serious threat to society, lead to a series of weak and fragile governments, and call into question the parliamentary principle in general.
The question is what National Assembly will we have after that., commented in the study of BTV Andrey Raichev. One of the main problems, according to him, is that there are no big parties anymore, there are many medium and small parties. In his conclusion, Andrey Raichev also includes GERB, although not directly mentioning Boyko Borissov’s party name.
That is why Raichev is skeptical that there will be a serious majority, as well as a serious opposition.
This will not happen with the “Poison Trio” and Maya Manolova, nor with Slavi Tirfonov, nor even with the MRF, according to Raichev’s forecast.
More than 50% of Bulgarians do not want early elections
GERB continues to be a leader in public support
According to him, although there is no option for a majority, GERB and MRF do not want an interim government under any circumstances to organize elections, it does not matter whether or not they coincide with the presidential election. Therefore, according to Raichev, we can witness a short-term minority government. And GERB’s position will be “We fix everything, now you’re in charge.”
Donchev: there is no plan to postpone the elections
Our economy was better than the worst expectations and worse than the best expectations
Raichev did not deny having tension between President Rumen Radev and BSP leader Cornelia Ninova and is visible to the naked eye. However, according to him, Ninova cannot afford to distance himself from the president. Raichev noted that Ninova has changed the party’s character from a compromise to much more aggressive. Members of the BSP liked this, but it has yet to be tested in elections.
It will be seen in the elections if MRF returns as a big factor in Bulgarian politics, Andrey Raichev noted. He stressed that for the first time in 25 years, Ahmed Dogan has no internal competition Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s speech gives the opportunity to consolidate the votes, scattered in formations like those of Lyutvi Mestan and Kassim Dahl. It would be a success if the MRF mobilizes 400 – 450 thousand votes. It would be crucial if Turkey agrees to hold elections on its territory in the event of a pandemic.
According to him, next year’s elections will be interesting on a completely different level: will show how much society has changed since the coronavirus. “As 1989 played the role of the Third World War, this event plays the role of war. During the war and while it lasts, no one can say what will happen next,” Raichev added.
Parliament had to put the Electoral Code back on the table
According to the sociologist Lachezar Tomov, the government has done nothing in the next hair salon of the code.
[ad_2]
