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A small number of tests, but also working measures! Thus, the National Operational Headquarters explained to NOVA the next day with a relatively small percentage of infected among those who were tested in our country for one day. During the last 24 hours, there are 337 new cases.
At the same time, Europe is reporting alarming new records of infected people. At the same time, immunization continues throughout Europe.
In our country, the first dose of the vaccine reached nearly 4,000 first-line doctors. And health experts have advised all patients to wait at least 3 months before getting vaccinated.
One more day the cured are more than the newly infected: 1,475 people have overcome the disease. In the last 24 hours, there were 337 new cases of COVID-19 infection. This trend has continued for several days and has raised the question of whether it is a direct consequence of the partial closure of a number of businesses, schools and kindergartens. Or is there another reason for the sharp decline in the number of infected? By way of comparison, in the context of these 337 people over the last 24 hours, just ten days ago, the newly infected numbered in the thousands.
The reason for the low number of infected is mainly due to the partial blockade, according to the mathematician of the Operations Headquarters Prof. Nikolay Vitanov.
“A few days ago we were more than 2,000 and we are down from 2,000 a day. This is very good, because we have come out of the developed turbulence regime. When we fall below 500, we come out of the turbulent regime, ”explained Professor Vitanov.
But there is another factor: the small number of tests that are carried out in the last few days. On December 24 there were 6,945. Today there are 2,369.
COVID-19 patients in hospitals are declining
In some labs, coronavirus testing has dropped by more than 50%.
“In the busiest periods we did 5000 tests a day, now we do 1200 – 1500 tests. In December, they decrease progressively. I think these are normal trends, because people who wanted to take the test to travel or for their loved ones on vacation were before Christmas ”, explains Dr. Blagovesta Pencheva, medical director of the laboratory.
Thus, naturally, in early 2021 a further increase in the number of infected is expected.
“Between 500 and 1,000 – 1,500 cases per day are expected for the beginning of January. The burden on hospital beds at 1000-1500 cases per day is somewhat bearable, it will not happen as they were at 5000 per day,” explained Prof. Vitanov .
A third wave of morbidity has not yet been established.
“If the new strain gets to us and spreads too much, we may have more than 1,500, but these are things that will start to happen in late January, early February. Then vaccination will be a factor. I don’t expect excesses, there may be some days in which there are more than 2000 cases a day, but they will be isolated days ”, says Prof. Vitanov.
This strain has so far been isolated in several European countries.
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