Shock on Radev’s rating, growth of confidence in Borissov – Politics

For the first time since the inauguration of the head of state, the president and the prime minister are equal in confidence: 40 percent for Rumen Radev

He was born on June 13, 1959., shows the national representative survey of “Alpha Research”, carried out among 1000 adult residents of the country through a telephone interview in the period from April 28 to May 5.

Sociologists note a decline in the personal rating of President Rumen Radev

Rumen Georgiev Radev is a Bulgarian military general in the reserve. Former commander of. The decline has two numerical and one structural dimensions, Alpha Research said.

The numerical dimensions are an erosion of positive evaluations by 8 percent (from 48 percent in December to 40 percent in early May) and a 10 percent jump in negative opinions, from 15 to 25 percent) . The structural change is that, for the first time since the inauguration of the head of state, the president and the prime minister have the same confidence (40 percent – for Radev, 40 percent – for Borisov), analysts say.

According to them, this parity creates a radically different dynamic and intrigue before the upcoming presidential elections in the fall of next year, making Radev the strongest candidate so far. Although indirectly, the ratings dance stemming from the coronavirus crisis could have a significant impact on the upcoming parliamentary elections, as the opposition will not be able to rely so heavily on the strength of one of its few speakers with the ability to influence the public opinion. opinion, according to “Alpha Research”.

Sociologist: Rumen Radev loses due to the situation he finds himself in

Data shows an increase in Boyko Borissov’s overall rating.

Boyko Metodiev Borisov is the Prime Minister of the Republic of Bulgaria.

He was born on June 13, 1959., reaching the second relatively highest values ​​after the first “golden” years of his first term: 40 percent positive evaluations of his activities (an increase of 10 percent compared to December), 31 percent negative (a decrease 8 percent compared to December)

Seen in a slightly shorter hindsight, the last time the Prime Minister had a positive rating, but with a minimal prevalence of approval over disapproval (37 percent to 35 percent) in June 2018, at the end of the presidency Bulgarian EU.

Although it is still too early to draw long-term conclusions, three significant public attitudes can be said to determine this “countermovement” in the qualifications of the two generals, sociologists conclude.

First, the unusual for the consolidation of Bulgarian society behind the thesis that there are things that we cannot do worse than many other countries. 40 percent believe that our country is doing better than most European countries in the fight against COVID-19, according to 38 percent; in some areas we are better, in others worse. Only 14 percent think we are doing worse in everything. This evaluation logically improves the position of the executive branch, which has assumed responsibility for the measures it used to counter the crisis and, on the contrary, worsens those of the president, who was one of the main opponents and critics of the strategy, analysts said .

Secondly, for public opinion, the result of direct confrontations between the Prime Minister and the President is in favor of the Prime Minister. Given the recent distance in their confidence levels, this is a fairly serious reversal of attitudes, even if only temporarily, analysts say. 34 percent approve of Borissov’s position on measures to limit the spread of the coronavirus in the initial acute phase of the crisis, compared to 27 percent of support for Radev’s position. Assessments of their positions on speed and focus on economic recovery are closer (28 percent approve of the Prime Minister’s thesis versus 24 percent) of the President.

Third, despite the extreme views expressed out loud, the representative sample of public attitudes shows strong support both for the measures taken during this period and for the way people took advantage of them, notes Alpha Research. 70 percent approve of health quarantine measures, feeling safer with them, 60 percent, the measures in education and especially the timely introduction of distance learning for their children. 52 percent support social measures launched targeting the most vulnerable and at-risk groups.

The predominantly critical sentiments are present only towards the still unclear economic measures, which may be the factor that will tip the balance in the coming months.

If we look at current expectations, we will also see that although they are tired or nervous about limitations, people are still dominated by fear and caution: they prefer a slower and more gradual return to normality, with fewer changes and more predictable actions. (40 percent), versus high or very slow speed, sociologists say.

Valeria Veleva commented on who is more right in the confrontation between Borisov and Radev.

According to them, in this sense, until now Borissov has managed to reconcile the two main public states of mind: fear of life and personal and family health, and impatience to get out of social isolation. Radev took a more ideological position in defense of the “citizen and the economy”, which, however, “hung” from the media, since its main voters are not energetic young people, who are the main exponents of such feelings, but much more risky and therefore analysts say they are more concerned about their own health than people from older age groups, which led to a decrease in their support.

According to the data, 60 percent give a positive evaluation of the work of a gene. Ventsislav Mutafchiiski, who heads the national operational headquarters.

The two-month state of emergency led to a double negative result for the main opposition force, BSP. Their leader Cornelia Ninova lost 6 support points and her rating fell to 15 percent. The former president of the left, Mihail Mikov, had comparable values ​​in 2015-2016, before being replaced by Ninova. The impact on electoral support for the BSP seems even more serious, says Alpha Research.

Compared to December, the party lost about a third of its potential voters (from 21.5 percent to 12.2 percent). If it does not overcome this negative development during the expected economic downturn by attracting voters in financial difficulties, it risks becoming a donor of votes for other political forces, sociologists point out.

Associate Professor Stoycho Stoychev a novini.bg: The coronavirus secured Cornelia Ninova’s official reelection as BSP president

At the end of the state of emergency, GERB crosses the threshold of the expected “normalization” with a serious advantage in the field of electoral attitudes. By retaining its pre-crisis positions almost unchanged (20.8 percent), only because of BSP erosion (up to 12.2 percent), it gained almost a double electoral advantage over it. Slavi Trifonov’s hypothetical formation remains in third place.

However, the true electoral positions of this party, if it goes to the polls, can be quite flexible and this will lead to changes in other political forces, sociologists say. There are no significant changes in the other political entities. Almost all lose slightly from the crisis, incl. the small partner of the United Patriots coalition, which remains in the shadow of the great ruler.

Therefore, the recap of the first stage of the crisis shows that, like many other countries, politicians in Bulgaria received support, making limiting the health consequences of the pandemic a priority, even at the cost of restrictive measures. for people’s daily lives. Alpha Research “.

However, this time, at least at this stage, it is coming to an end, and the positive aspects of the current situation seem to have been consumed. From now on, the parallel battle will be for personal physique but also for the economic health of society. Whoever has a clearer vision, proposes more feasible measures and can balance the different interests of individual social groups will receive the new strategic advantage, analysts say.

They jokingly summed up the situation: “two generals converge their rankings well below the safe two meters, a new general takes the stage, at a solid distance from the others, with enviable approval of 60 percent and only 15 percent of disapproval. The game of chess continues. ”