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“However, I can say the following. What turned out to be a bad option for September is the good option for October,” he said.
“We are still in a calmer environment, which will continue in early October,” Vitanov said.
“Currently there are about 30 infected students. These are the initial conditions. After the holidays we will start with several possible scenarios.. 1.01 is the infection value. It has a fairly long contraction period. We are entering the autumn with relatively good indicators, compared to other countries ”, added Professor Vitanov.
“So far, nothing bothers me as a measure. They are completely adequate. Even immediate quarantine is adequate because the cluster is immediately crossed,” he said.
“About 2 months ago, an Austrian claimed that there were many infected people in Bulgaria. I told him to look at Austria so that I would not say anything about it. Now you see what happens to them. I don’t want to say anything about Sweden, I will not good. The question marks in the Swedish model remain, “Vitanov said, adding that it was unclear how long the antibodies would remain after illness.
“Recently, we have had few cases and it is possible that the mortality rate in our country will decrease. By the end of October, we will be approaching 1,000 deaths, and this is normal,” he added. he thinks.
We are entering with about 30 cases of infected students from a system that has 700,000 students and tens of thousands of teachers. This is nothing. If the measurements are followed as before, I go to the best option. In that case, nothing is expected. dramatically, ”said the mathematician.
“November will be critical. Conditions for the spread of these viruses are improving there. We need to toughen up. Then comes December, the holidays, people don’t go out much. Then there is nothing scary, “thinks Professor Vitanov.
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