[ad_1]
We are currently in a turbulent scenario, which is more than 500 cases per day. This was stated to Bulgaria ON AIR by the mathematician of the National Operational Headquarters Prof. Nikolay Vitanov.
He explained that in this scenario there are 2 options: an initial stage of 500 to 2000 cases. According to him, associate professor Angel Kunchev and his colleagues could still do something.
However, Vitanov cautioned that if we move 2,000 infected people, the spread in the country will become diffuse and very difficult to control. According to 24-25% of people do not follow any measure.
1,336 new cases of coronavirus, 11 died
261 cured in the last 24 hours
Regarding the measures against the coronavirus in our country and the growth in the number of new infections in recent days, the mathematician recalled that in early June, when there were 6 cases, people wanted to loosen the measures because the virus was leaving. In this way a large group of people was formed – around 1.9 million people who do not comply with the measures.
According to him, those responsible for the failure to comply with the measures are those who actively promote that the virus has weakened their influence.
“From the point of view of mathematical theory, the fault lies with the one who created the large group of people who do not wear masks. It was pure populism, its results are visible now,” Vitanov emphasized.
We are already in the zone of turbulence according to Professor Vitanov
He thinks that wearing masks outdoors is reasonable.
He recalled that at the end of September he warned health the system must cook for 30,000 cases. “The government probably expected more that people would follow the measuresHe has successfully opposed active non-compliance propaganda and that was a big mistake. the expert was adamant.
According to him, the trend of increasing the number of people infected with COVID-19 is extremely alarming. However, people were not prepared to hear numbers.
“As I said the number 2000 per day, this is the limit between the initial stage of turbulence and the advanced stage. Very soon we will reach this figure if no measures are taken,” said the mathematician. He pointed out that it was no good going upstairs. We had 6 cases a day, now we have 200 times moreVitanov summarized.
[ad_2]
