Hot “Barometer” shows who wins the elections, if today, bad news for Slavi, DB, Tsvetanov and Maya TABLES

In early November, the Bulgaria Barometer reported on the mood of Bulgarian society towards the most discussed foreign and domestic policy issues with a standardized telephone interview, in which we asked three questions.

The prevailing view is that a tougher policy towards the Republic of North Macedonia is needed, with moderate support for anti-coronavirus measures, but with stricter controls and discipline. Regarding electoral attitudes, the assessment of voters towards the main actors on the political scene remains without significant changes compared to the last survey of the Bulgaria Barometer in October.

1. Do you approve of the government’s actions to veto the Republic of North Macedonia and start negotiations for accession to the European Union?

A large part of the respondents (81.1%) categorically affirms that our country should support our neighbors for EU membership only if North Macedonia recognizes its common historical roots with Bulgaria.

According to the survey, it can be said that our society is tired of the long-standing anti-Bulgarian campaign and is not ready for further concessions, regardless of the reason: sentimentality or geopolitical interest. For 9.1%, the question of the language spoken in North Macedonia is not over; According to them, support for EU membership can only be given after North Macedonia recognizes its connection to the Bulgarian language.

The proportion of definitive and categorical opinions is very small: 4.9% reject the support under any conditions, while 2.9% think diametrically opposite that Bulgaria should definitely support its neighbor in its European integration.

2. Do you think that appropriate measures are in place in Bulgaria to control the spread of COVID-19-19?

For more than half of those surveyed, the measures introduced by the state in the fight against COVID-19 are adequate in themselves, but still more are needed to be effective – 32.8% believe that there is a problem of personal discipline , and for 27.2% the responsible authorities do not exercise the necessary control.

In the context of the increasing number of infected and the shortage of hospital beds and medical personnel, 24.9% believe that more restrictions are needed to control the infection rate. For 11%, however, the restrictions imposed are already excessive, either because of their economic effect or because of the feeling of restriction of personal freedom.

It should be noted that the coronavirus is an issue of great concern to the public at the moment, and the proportion of those who do not have an opinion is extremely small: 4.1%.

3. If parliamentary elections were held today, which political force would you vote for?

In early November, the political attitudes of the respondents did not change significantly. GERB maintains its leadership position with 20.5%. After the protests subsided and the temporary mobilization of its forces, the BSP declined (13.2%) and the gap between the top two in political competition widened again.

The MRF (7.5) and PO (7.3) have nearly equal forces, and the Patriots are currently gaining support with their position on Bulgaria’s support of North Macedonia for EU membership and the rising tensions and terror attacks in Nice. and Vienna for religious reasons committed by migrants. These are issues and issues that the OP has raised for a long time and that attract the attention of more nationalist voters, as well as those who support traditional values.

It must be taken into account that GERB, BSP, MRF and OP – occupying the place of the first four parties, have a clear and proven electorate in the elections, which is weakly influenced by circumstantial political attitudes. The big question for them (with the exception of the MRF) is the actual election campaign and what part of its adjacent periphery will they be able to activate. This will determine your final election results.

There is no dynamic in attitudes towards Slavi Trifonov’s party “There is such a people” – 3.7% of voters would support him in the elections and there are no changes in his profile – young people from small towns.

3.1% of those surveyed want to vote for democratic Bulgaria.

The number of hesitant (8.8%) who have the potential to change the order of elections is growing. The proportion of those who flatly refuse to vote is also increasing (30.2%).

There are approximately three months left for the registration of the electoral lists for the ordinary elections, which are in March 2021. In general, however, the elections are still not in the center of attention of Bulgarian society.

Characteristics
Research period: 06–eleven.eleven.2020
Methodology: quantitative study
Representation: the population of Bulgaria entitled to vote
Sample size: 882 people over 18 years old
Methodology: sample of quotas stratified by age and sex
Method: telephone interview
Financing: Own