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Support for the main political formations has remained lower than before, and the BSP and GERB have almost equal positions. That’s according to a Gallup International study. Both parties have moved in the last three months at levels of around 13-15% among eligible voters.
The MRF is stable at 6.9% and Democratic Bulgaria at around 5%. The number of responses such as “I will not vote” or “I do not support anyone” is growing (to a total of 37.6% this month).
This means that what is happening in the country so far tends to distance people from politics in general, the study concludes.
That is why there is a demand for a “third option” – non-voting or extra-parliamentary and new formations.
There is still growth for “There are those people” – up 8.6% of all eligible voters this month. Democratic Bulgaria took a “step” up in the summer, from its traditional 2-3% of all eligible voters, to almost 6%, but then did not continue and now even shows signs of erosion to 5% in October.
United Patriots, on the other hand, has been on the verge of entering the National Assembly even before the political turmoil of the summer, and thus far it does not appear to have suffered any new serious damage from the protest. In October, they had 2.3%, or about 130,000 potential votes, around the barrier of the last elections to the National Assembly.
“Will” has not been particularly affected either: the party is moving at constant levels, where it would be difficult to enter the National Assembly on its own if elections were held today. In October, Volia had 1.8% or a potential of almost 100,000 votes. So far, seven formations have the prospect of being in the next parliament, two of which are on the brink.
The demand for early elections was shared at the beginning of the protest by more than 40%, but more than 50% opposed. In early August, however, after the hottest phase of the protests, the demand for early elections prevailed, reaching a second “in favor” against a third “against.” In September and October it stabilizes at a ratio of two to one.
19.2% expect the elections to be free and fair, but 52.6% believe otherwise. The others doubt. Among the skeptics are mostly supporters of opposition formations. Specifically this month, 53.7% expect the economy to deteriorate in the near future, 24% do not expect changes and 7.8% expect an improvement. There is also a certain percentage of doubts.
For the last time in the decade, these negative values were recorded in 2012.
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