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Since the start of the protests, sociologists have registered a decline in approval of most state institutions and an increase in negative evaluations of them. This is especially true for parliament, the court, the prosecution and the government. A collapse of confidence in Prime Minister Boyko Borissov and Chief Prosecutor Ivan Geshev, according to a December poll by Exacta.
At the end of 2020, the BOC, the army and the police were the most approved (with a higher proportion of approval than disapproval), and the least approved were the court, the prosecution and the parliament. Parliament is the institution with the highest disapproval in 2020. The proportion of those who approve and disapprove of the work of parliament in December is from 19.1% to 69.1%, in the courts this proportion is from 16.3% to 61, 4% and in processing it is from 20% to 57.2%.
The government has lost 6% approval since the protests began and added nearly 10% disapproval during the same period. Disapproval of cabinet work in December was a significantly higher proportion than approval (61.3% to 28.4%). President Rumen Radev’s approval in December was 50.9% and disapproval 37.6%. Over the past year, he lost 10% approval and added 12% disapproval.
Since the beginning of the protests, public attitudes towards the government have also changed more visibly. Parliament Speaker Tsveta Karayancheva added 16% disapproval in recent months, with 59.6% disapproval and 22.3% approval in December. Support for her in GERB is high: 77% of the party’s voters approve. Prime Minister Boyko Borissov has lost 8% approval since the protests began. In December, it was approved by 31.6% of Bulgarians and 60.7% disapproved. Borissov is approved by 95% of GERB voters.
The Prosecutor’s Office was approved by 22.3% in December and disapproved by 57.7%.
Cornelia Ninova as president of a parliamentary group has 23.4% approval, followed by Daniela Daritkova with 22% approval. Ninova slightly increased her approval at the end of the year, with 3-4% disapproving of her after her re-election as leader of the BSP. Currently, 88% of BSP voters approve of it, according to Exacta.
As the regular parliamentary elections approach, the public’s confidence that GERB will serve its full term is growing. The proportion of those who expect GERB to complete their mandate according to Exact data from June this year. it was 57% and in December it was already 64%. Those eligible for early parliamentary elections were cut in half in December compared to June (8% vs. 16%).
The answers to an open electoral question in the present study show that the reliable participants in the next parliament are GERB, BSP, “There is such a town” and MRF according to the data of “Exact”. The difference between electoral support for GERB and BSP is of the order of 2% (18.6% and 16.5%). According to “Exacta” “There are people like this” are third with 9%. The electoral weight of the MRF amounts to 5.4%. The chances for the next parliament are democratic Bulgaria with 3.9% electoral participation and the United Patriots, with 3.5%. The potential of DB and OP could work out for them in the coming months, sociologists say.
The electorate of the formation of M. Manolova is marked by a slight increase, it is indicated as an independent party outside the coalition formats discussed with its participation. Tsvetan Tsvetanov’s “Republicans for Bulgaria” received an electoral weight of 2.4% three months after its founding. The smaller parties have potential, which we will see if they absorb it in the coming months, says “Exacta”.
Sociologists have also tested attitudes towards Bulgaria’s position in the Republic of North Macedonia. According to 46% of Bulgarians, we should not give PCM a second chance to start negotiations with the EU until the disputed issues are finally resolved. Among the remaining 53% of those interviewed, there are two nuanced positions.
The first is softer: 14% would give Macedonia a second chance by the end of the year if PCM shows a good attitude and declares being ready to resolve disputes, and the second is more difficult: 39% would give PCM a second additional opportunity in time only if there is concrete evidence that the disputes between the two parties are being resolved.
Sofia, Bulgaria
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