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It is unacceptable weeks before the introduction of the vaccine to compromise all the efforts of government experts, doctors, all people who comply with the anti-epidemic measures in view of the short-term financial goals and the cost of thousands of lives. This was stated in an open letter to Prime Minister Boyko Borissov and the entire government, Parents for Safe Education, and the Science in the Crisis think tank.
The reason is yesterday’s statement by the Prime Minister that it will open all on December 21.
In it, they point out that the statistics are absolutely clear, that there is no reason to believe that the epidemic is abating, and there is no reason to loosen the restrictions.
These are the arguments presented by parents and experts to the Prime Minister:
According to the data, the number of confirmed cases is decreasing due to restrictions imposed at the end of October. A serious problem for the objective evaluation of this indicator and for the distortion of the statistics is the continuous decrease in the fourth week of the number of PCR tests performed, as well as the increasing use of rapid antigen tests, which are not part of the official statistics.
The percentage of positive tests is one of the other two serious indicators of the spread of the virus. The extremely high proportion of positive samples means that the virus circulates freely in the population and partial measurements of three weeks can hardly control it. The ECDC criterion for a high percentage of positive tests is greater than 4%.
Given this, it can be concluded that the true morbidity remains hidden. The only way to limit the spread of the virus is to maintain the anti-epidemic measures imposed by the Order of the Minister of Health after the specified deadline (21.12.2020). It is essential that the results of antigen tests become part of the official statistics that reflect the incidence in the country. A tangible, real and lasting effect on new confirmed cases cannot be expected from the recently introduced measures if they are removed.
The number of hospitalized reached 7,000 people.
This is the highest proportion of hospitalized since the beginning of the pandemic. An additional problem is infected medical personnel, leaving entire wards and clinics without the opportunity to treat patients. The intensive ones are also at their highest levels in the last 9 months.
A significant number of health workers remain infected. The share of healthcare workers in the total number of new cases is increasing, as is the number of doctors who have died from the virus. The capacity of the health system is determined precisely by human resources, since the removal of so many specialists from clinics and hospitals puts at risk the possibility of providing primary medical care. The health system will have difficulties to recover from these human losses, which will continue to affect the mortality of patients suffering from other diseases.
In the current situation, we are witnessing the fact that due to overcrowding of hospitals and shortage of medical personnel, many people are unable to receive necessary medical care and die in front of hospitals, ambulances or in their homes while waiting for emergency care.
The death toll continues to rise, with the number rising for the seventh week in a row and setting anti-records. The increase in deaths from COVID-19 is part of the general growth of this indicator in the country. The complicated situation of the epidemic is a prerequisite for a high latent mortality from the virus due to the inability to provide prompt and effective medical care. Indirect mortality is also increasing due to the overloaded healthcare system. The effect of the measures can only be objectively assessed by analyzing mortality, which is not affected by the tests.
This and the percentage of positive samples remain relatively objective indicators of the spread of the virus. It is reported that more and more people are dying without comorbidities, young people and even children. The number of deceased doctors, professors and lecturers is increasing. In addition to being purely human, these events raise the question of the future of our society. These professionals take years to build and cannot be replaced easily and quickly. This will also have an impact on the long-term economic situation, which will be difficult to recover from human losses.
Bulgaria
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