Already infected by 1576 per day (40% up), we will soon cross the new threshold for return measures (Charts)



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43% more died during the week – an average of 53 per day

Almost half of the intensive care beds in hospitals were full

After a few weeks mortality remained low despite the growing number of new infections, the past bringing a 43% increase in victims. They now average 53 per day compared to 37 the week before.

New patients averaged 1,576 per day, a 40% increase. 78,600 tests were performed, of which 14%, or 11,000, were positive. The number of active patients is now 32,688 – 5,000 more than last week. The infection is visibly gathering momentum, but levels are still in the middle of the season and far from the peak in late 2020, when mortality was 130 per day for several weeks and active patients reached 95,000.

The increase in hospital admissions was 21%, with 414 patients (+ 24%) in intensive care units as of March 2. The load is already at about 50% of maximum capacity.

Although the critical threshold for return measures has been raised from 200 to 300 patients per day per 100,000 inhabitants, the growth of new cases is about to reach it in the coming days.

As of March 2, the number of new cases for the country, calculated in this way, was 277, compared with 199 just a week earlier. (See table). In some areas, including Sofia, the threshold of 300 has already been significantly exceeded.

It remains to be seen whether the health authorities will follow through on their threats of a further tightening just one week after the establishments open and the return of more high school students to schools.

With an average of 53 daily victims, or 7.7 per million inhabitants, we are still far from the levels between 10 and 20, which are the peaks of the pandemic. However, we are again at the top of the world’s black list: fifth in mortality. This is largely due to the continuing decline in mortality around the world: it has dropped by another 5% and reaches an average of 9,000 people a day. Apart from Bulgaria, there is an increase in the number of victims in several other Central and Eastern European countries, which until recently had a low death rate.



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