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At the end of the coronavirus state of emergency, the ruling GERB party has almost a double advantage in electoral support over its main opponent, the BSP. This is shown in a nationally representative survey of the sociological agency “Alpha Research”, conducted between April 28 and May 5 through a telephone interview among 1,000 Bulgarian adults. See what the poll shows about politician approval and government action against the coronavirus here.
However, the double advantage is not due to an increase in electoral support for Boyko Borissov’s party, but is the result of the erosion of the BSP. GERB has remained almost unchanged before the crisis: if the parliamentary elections are next Sunday, 20.8% would vote for the party with 21.7%, but the same response in December 2019. BSP, however, marked a decrease significant and support is only 12.2%.
Third is the hypothetical formation of Slavi Trifonov. The television presenter made a failed attempt to register the “There is no such state” party, and a second court decision is currently awaited for the “There are such people” party. “However, the true electoral positions of this party, if it goes to the polls, can be quite flexible and this will lead to changes in other political forces,” the sociologists commented.
All other political forces are also losing the crisis, but overall the differences are not significant. The “small” partner of the United Patriots coalition, which remains in the shadow of the great ruler, also saw a drop in electoral support. In this context, the growth of those who indicated that they would not vote is impressive. While at the end of 2019 this was declared by 26.8% of the respondents, now the answer “I will not vote” was given by 37.8%.
BSP and Ninova lose positions
The two-month state of emergency led to a double negative result for the main opposition force, BSP, sociologists report. Their leader Cornelia Ninova lost 6 support points and her rating fell to 15%.
The impact on electoral support for the BSP seems even more serious. Compared to December, the party lost about a third of its potential voters (from 21.5% to 12.2%). “If you do not overcome this negative development during the expected economic downturn by attracting financially troubled voters, you risk becoming a donor of votes for other political forces,” said Alpha Research.
