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Statistics can be viewed in many ways. Different groups of people get dividends from different statistics, which can seem confusing. This was stated in the “Week 150” program by the immunologist from the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Prof. Dr. Andrey Chorbanov, who analyzed the trends in the spread of Covid-19.
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It is not yet clear to the general public in such statistics whether the positive samples that have recently increased have been taken at random or if all the contacts of other people who are also in contact have been tested. This allows for the manipulation of statistics, Andrei Chorbanov emphasized. If done randomly, the statistics would be more objective, he said.
We still do not see an increase in mortality, it is based on certain values, said the immunologist, qualifying this as positive. Spring crash mortality in many countries has affected the most vulnerable groups, and now there are much healthier people and much younger people sick and this is the reason why mortality does not increase, explained Adjunct Professor Chorbanov.
The number of positives is increasing, but countries are now much more organized, and people dealing with the virus have much more experience.
“The virus will not pass until it meets all its potential hosts and people who may be positive. Of course, there will be a large group of people who will never be positive,” associate professor Andrey Chorbanov told BNR.
Even if we have a working and proven vaccine, it cannot be produced all at once for the entire population to cover all potential victims of this virus, he added.
According to Adjunct Professor Chorbanov, the administration has finally come to understand that “it is good to hear the voice of people who only do this and understand only that.”
“It seems that they are convinced that the threat factor does not work, the factor with the impact of people rather generates an extremely strong polarization, which can lead to a very, very unfavorable effect. Perhaps 10-15% of people literally went into paranoia, where it was justified, where it wasn’t, “he added.
On the other hand, the resistance of societies to the introduction of measures is extremely growing, with no realities behind them as a threat. People can see for themselves that there are no sick people around them, that there are no people dying en masse, that there are no people falling into the streets; you remember some shots in Wuhan of people falling to the streets and the health services picking them up This is not happening in Europe and that is why people are reacting. At the moment, politicians prefer to try to influence people’s behavior in a more moderate way, “said Andrei Chorbanov.
We see that nowhere is there a precipitous trend with a furious increase in cases, there are mild sinusoids everywhere, said the immunologist.
It is clear that the virus is not transmitted outdoors, that it is transmitted in teams that are very close together, intimately together, for example, a football team or a family, said Andrei Chorbanov. He described the measures to close homes as absurd because they slow but do not stop the spread of the infection.
“If we close our houses and basements again without meeting other people, we will reduce the number to extend only to the closest people of the families. The moment these measures cease and do not last long, we will return to the same situation. It is a vicious cycle that we keep going in and out, realizing it’s not going to help.
Assistant Professor Andrey Chorbanov recalled that there is still a debate around the world about whether people die “with” or “from” the coronavirus, and in our country “since” it is registered en masse. The concept of “sick” is quite different from “positive,” said adjunct professor Chorbanov.
“Stay more normal, because even after viral infection we have to remain human,” appealed the head of the Department of Immunology at the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences.
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