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How the economy recovers will have a key impact on optimism and pessimism in the months leading up to the elections. The economic and social vector are key factors for optimism. The third factor is whether Bulgaria will have a stable and accountable government after the parliamentary and presidential elections. This was said on the “From the day” program on BNT by “Alpha Research” sociologist Boryana Dimitrova.
According to the latest data, the image of the electoral data is for a fairly colorful parliament. For the moment, the attitudes are for a six-party parliament, which in itself is a mathematical difficulty in forming a new cabinet. The difficulty in this case is both ideological and political, he said, announcing that according to the data, the parliament includes GERB, BSP, MRF, “There is such a people”, “Democratic Bulgaria” and “Stand up.BG”.
Dimitrova pointed out that the data from the “Alpha Research” poll, conducted in December 2020, shows a smaller number of MPs for the smaller parties, which is an advantage for the larger political forces.
Support for individual political forces is strongly influenced by the pandemic situation. We see a very low willingness to vote, which leads to the parity of the main political forces, Boryana Dimitrova said.
The outcome of the parliamentary elections will also depend a lot on the date of the vote. I still think the date might not be March 28, but late April, he said.
It will also be important which electoral groups will be mobilized, as well as last summer’s protest. These parliamentary elections will play to some extent the role of two-round elections, because the number of voters who want a coalition around the GERB and those who want a coalition around the BSP is almost equal. By going to the polls, people will not only choose a political force, but also the nature of the future government, the sociologist added.
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