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There will be a tough electorate win, but GERB and BSP have lost momentum since the summer, and the fact that GERB is ruling allowed them to compensate, “he said on the program” The day live with Nadelina Aneva “on NOVA NEWS sociologist. And CEO of Gallup International Balkan Parvan Simeonov.
According to him, this is one of the reasons why the campaign is a bit slow, but last but not least, the pandemic situation in which we find ourselves contributes to its character.
The sociologist believes that the BSP responds to the public’s attitudes to vote for individuals, but this may not help them, especially given the number of internal problems they have. But now the socialists’ tactics are more moderate and less aggressive than in previous election campaigns, which could be an advantage for them.
However, Simeonov believes that both GERB and BSP will lose seats, but there are still many unpredictable factors why something cannot be said with complete certainty.
“We avoid saying how many parties will enter, but most likely there will be seven political entities in parliament,” he added.
Parvan Simeonov stressed that the polls are snapshots of public opinion, in this pandemic situation it is unstable.
“The MRF has a pragmatic and usual support, while that of ‘There is a people like this’ is more amorphous and everything can be expected of him, with mostly young supporters, which adds uncertainty,” he added.
Many surprises can be expected for him from those who have not yet decided who to vote for. And Maya Manolova and IMRO will have to work to the end to make sure they cross the line and enter parliament.
Simeonov insisted that some political entities overestimated the radicalism of the Bulgarians.
“Bulgarian society is no longer as revolutionary as it was at the beginning of the changes,” he said.
The sociologist predicts that there will be protests if the government is like against the dissatisfaction of the summer, but the question is how big they will be.
According to him, the summer protests have heated up tensions and Boyko Borissov may quell him if he says he will not be prime minister, which will also depend on the results.
Regarding the post-election government, Parvan Simeonov concluded that a government could be formed around the BSP or around the GERB, and the turnout would be around 2.6-2.9 million people.
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