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Coronavirus experts are closely monitoring when the cluster spreads diffusely. The data shows that the number of breeders is increasing. 1.24 is for the country. The areas entering the “red zone” are also increasing. This was summarized by the mathematician of the National Operational Headquarters (NIGHT) Prof. Nikolay Vitanov.
Today the values in the city of Sofia show an increase to 1.60. In Plovdiv – 1.26 and in Varna – 1.17. The situation is also deteriorating in Burgas, where the hike reached 1.97 on March 7.
“In the larger areas, we see the situation getting worse.” The country is also slowly sinking, “Professor Vitanov told Nova.
“We are hovering around the critical value. The critical value is expected on Tuesday-Wednesday, when it will exceed 1.3 for the country,” he added.
He explained that the situation is not as bad as in November. To reassure us, the numbers are still small, but we are already in the third wave and we must be careful.
Because, according to Professor Vitanov, a total of 13 districts in the country are very bad. Another three have rapidly deteriorating morbidity. So far, only Targovishte can boast of good virus spread parameters.
The most alarming situation is in Burgas, Veliko Tarnovo, Vratsa, Sofia, Lovech, Montana, Pazardzhik, Pleven, Silistra, Sofia region, Smolyan, Haskovo and Shumen. The situation in Gabrovo, Razgrad and Ruse will deteriorate rapidly.
Professor Nikolay Vitanov noted that the red light came on after 2000 cases of infection. Up to 5,000 things are worrying, but they do not increase.
When asked what would happen, he replied:
“Well, it already depends on our behavior and the vaccination campaign. 50,000 vaccinated push the wave down by 1% “.
The mathematician recalled that for the moment NOCHE’s decision is to take measures at the local level according to the situation in the regions. However, if things continue to go wrong, a national approach is not ruled out.
For the jump in morbidity, we still cannot include establishments that have been operating for only a few days, Prof. Vitanov said. According to him, the result of this relaxation of the measures will be seen in 10 days. The mathematician admitted that he went around and analyzed people’s behavior. And what he sees does not make him happy.
“There is just over 20% of people who do not follow their measurements. I want to thank 80% of those who follow me. And to tell you, 4 weeks are coming, it will be difficult. Follow the measurements, be careful, because the morbidity is high. And to those who do not comply, I want to say: “There is nothing to complain about,” said Professor Vitanov.
He pointed out that we can defeat the coronavirus through mass vaccination. He expects COVID-19 to turn into a seasonal flu.
“It is very unlikely that this virus will get worse and something like the Spanish flu will happen,” the mathematician is optimistic.
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