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The opposition fired their bullets before seeing the rabbit
There was a Soviet joke about forest animals traveling by train to the resort’s Black Sea coast. The rabbit goes from compartment to compartment and repeats with a threatening baritone:
“Whoever stole my suitcase, please return it immediately! Otherwise not like last time in Odessa! Yes! It will be like in Odessa! “
Finally, the Siberian bear pleases her, grabs the rabbit by the ears, picks it up and growls:
“And what happened so much the last time in Odessa?”
“Well, I’ve run out of suitcase!” – the rabbit goes to the tenor.
This will be the case with the Bulgarian opposition in 2021, like the last time in Odessa. Going out in summer on the yellow cobblestones without a single high cause, he threw his suitcase out the window. In the spring, GERB will fight again, grab them like rabbits by the ears, and point out their convenient coalition partner.
Whoever cheats on TV and on websites, GERB has a guaranteed electorate of roughly 1 million.
At its core there are about 500 thousand state and municipal employees. During 10 years in power, GERB created security, peace of mind and self-confidence. For them, the change of power is a nightmare. When we add the families, they become 1 million. But if we add the companies with the orders and the subsidies together with their families and employees, here is another half million.
Put yourself in their shoes. Close to you, acquaintances and friends from the private sector lose their jobs, ask for loans, wonder how to feed their children and pay their mortgages. Only you are happy and guaranteed. Would you vote for a change?
While the opposition joked with Bat ‘Boyko and his roads, he built a new social pyramid: a stable administrative class. Only she is sure of her bread while she is GERB. In practice, the other social strata of the country are marginalized.
Can this iron status quo be overthrown?
One day, yes, but not this spring. For GERB’s social strength to fall, it takes a combination of a seismic economic crisis plus a “tall” idea that has reached the masses. This idea should be waved like a flag by leaders who can inspire people. You have to be like Ayatollah Khomeini, Vladimir Lenin, Fidel Castro, or at least Barack Obama before he takes office. Nothing like this can be seen on the native horizon.
Did the BSP manage to hatch such a “great” idea? Unfortunately, after the introduction of the single tax, nobody sees it as a leftist alternative. On the other hand, the headquarters of the Social Democrats in Brussels smelled rotten like Dracula’s coffin.
These days a group of red deputies broke away and created the “Bulgarian Progressive Party”. Poor people, do you understand what the word “progressive” means in our time? Gender and something else. If you’re going to lead the masses in Bulgaria with this, you better go and sell vibrators to the Eskimos.
I feel sorry for Maya Manolova, she was doing well as an ombudsman. Had it worked, it would have been the most authoritative policy among the survivors. Unfortunately, the mayor’s experience and the protest led her to a dead end, to play White with the Poison Trio in an abandoned car on the last track.
In the spring of 2021, it will shine out that the big protests were a fatal strategic mistake.
They put all their eggs in one basket: the resignation of parliament and a provisional government. Now the eggs are cracked and all this public energy has turned into one big sigh.
People were raised prematurely. What follows is a natural decline and reconciliation, which will cover the election period. If Bozhkov did not inspire the protests, Borisov himself should have organized them.
Where, dear protesters, was your “big idea” for a popular uprising? To “kick the stray dogs”? If Lenin had once offered to drive out the Germans, there would have been no October Revolution, dear Pishman revolutionaries. He offered the exact opposite: immediate peace and land for the peasants. He promised to give something.
So whoever was behind organizing the protest was likely guided by personal needs, not by the ebbs and flows of the political process. If you wanted to catch the wave, you had to schedule it for spring 2021. Instead, it’s like a surfer trying to catch the wave a little late.
In 2020, the opposition fired their bullets and there was only one way to stimulate popular discontent: vaccines.
This can really inflame social anger. Why did the authorities re-settle first? Why is the state bureaucracy already being vaccinated and we pensioners die? I can’t travel without a vaccine, right? Isn’t it so with the exit visas with Todor Zhivkov?
And every time a 70-80 year old folk artist, writer, composer surrenders his spirit to God with the help of the coronavirus, the huge chorus of trolls will roar like in a Sophocles play: “See! The great Bulgarian left because Boyko gave his publicist his shot! “
But this is not the “great idea”. Personally, I hope there is no salvation from GERB for now. 2021 will bring the bitter cup to the BSP, the MRF, Hristo Ivanov and the Patriots. Perhaps the only winner of the passions of 2020 is Slavi Trifonov with his party. If the predictions turn out to be true, “There are people like that” should land in parliament with between 5 and 10 percent. It could even be a third party. I don’t mean to, sociologists claim.
You see the great power a “great idea” has when it has it. And it’s that simple! Slavi’s idea is that the people are sovereign. So whatever you decide, it has to happen. Power must not flow through a stream of water from the elite to the people, but rather, flow from the bottom up like a fountain towards the presidency.
If the BSP, Radev and others had complied with the Slavi referendum in 2016, they would be riding the crest of the wave today. And now, it only interferes with the New Year.
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