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Election of Joe Biden as President raises concerns in Moscow, that the global ambitions of the Russians will be directly challenged. Trump focused on withdrawing US troops from Europe and avoided further conflict. However, the Kremlin fears that Biden will return to the disputed regions in search of Western integration.
Sergey Lavrov: EU is not ready for dialogue with Russia
Russia hopes the United States will not delay in limiting strategic offensive weapons
This is what Janusz Bugajski wrote in an analysis for Hill.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov’s recent trip to the Balkans shows Moscow’s concern. Lavrov’s statements on the importance of the Balkans project Russia’s own aspirations for Washington. According to Lavrov, some Western countries “want to turn this area into Europe
and in the arena of geopolitical struggle and to create new dividing lines. ”This is exactly what Russia wants to achieve in order to prevent the other countries of the Western Balkans from resolving their disputes and
Ukraine demands explanation for icon handed over to Lavrov in Bosnia
“… Someone has to go to jail”
apply to join NATO and the EU.
Lavrov points to two countries that allow Moscow to pursue a policy of division and governance in the region: Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia. During his controversial visit to Bosnia and Herzegovina on December 15, Lavrov openly opposed the expansion of NATO, emphasizing the military neutrality of the Republika Srpska, a Serbian entity in Bosnia. In fact, only the central government of Sarajevo can make such decisions.
Bosnians and Croats steadfastly refused to meet with Lavrov, describing his visit as disrespectful to their country. They condemned his meeting with Milorad Dodik, a member of the Republika Srpska government, and his interference in Bosnian internal politics. Lavrov said both presidents had followed instructions from abroad, openly alluding to the United States.
Bosnia and Herzegovina leadership interrupted Lavrov for a meeting
Bosnia and Herzegovina wants you to respect the country’s institutions
Lavrov said the Dayton Accords, which ended the war in November 1995, could not be changed, despite “calls from abroad.” In fact, American and European officials are studying constitutional formulas that could help end the paralysis that has gripped the country. They recognize that the Dayton Accords limit the country’s development and the prospects for EU integration. Lavrov’s attack is clearly a response to Biden’s claim that attempts to build a functioning multi-ethnic Bosnian state have never been completed.
Lavrov called on the West to start negotiations rather than act unilaterally.
The West has yet to find many more reasons to blame, realizing that Russia is an independent power.
Moscow continues to hamper Bosnia’s integration into the EU,
and Lavrov offered Serbian education a series of financial incentives. Among them are joint projects with Russian companies in the field of gas infrastructure, which will make education even more dependent on Moscow. Lavrov also called for the resignation of the High Representative, who oversees the civilian implementation of the Dayton Accords. The move will give the leaders of the Republika Srpska the courage to challenge the central government and
to start threatening to separate.
Lavrov’s subsequent visit to Belgrade sent a clear signal to Serbian President Alexander Vucic of Moscow’s support.
Moscow fears that Biden will urge Vucic to recognize Kosovo as an independent state, accept a more united Bosnia and Herzegovina, and end Serbia’s political interference in the internal affairs of Montenegro.
Lavrov also spoke of projects that will strengthen Russia’s presence in the Serbian economy. These projects include the Turkish Stream gas pipeline, the Belgrade-Novi Sad high-speed railway line, and the Djerdap 1 hydroelectric plant.
During a visit to St. Sava’s Cathedral, where Putin’s message was read, Lavrov and Vucic highlighted the close ties between the Russian and Serbian Orthodox churches, which are
Lavrov announced the need to restart relations with Germany
He met in Moscow with a delegation from “Alternative for Germany”
emanation of territorial revisionism from Russia and Serbia.
Moscow will undoubtedly look for a way to approach the Biden administration, as has been the case with all previous US presidents. The move will consist of persuading Washington to ignore the Kremlin’s unilateral success in offensive operations abroad over the past four years. And also to deceive the United States and convince them that a new major concession to Russia will help prevent further conflicts.
At the same time, the Kremlin authorities will deny reports of large-scale cyberattacks by Russian intelligence services against American institutions and organizations. For their part, the Russian authorities will definitively affirm that the countries’ bilateral relations need an urgent update.
Biden must not cede new territory to Moscow.
It has already said that existing cyber defense is not enough and that the United States must “discourage its opponents and crack down” on future cyber attacks. In addition to the clear message about cyberspace, it must be said that the new administration is capable of defending the interests of the United States and its allies, reflecting the damaging influence of Russia in the Balkans.
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