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Russia will be very successful if it uses the divide and win strategy in the Black Sea. This is what Simon Peck wrote in his comment on Forbes.
He bases his theses on a new simulation game. It was developed by researchers at RAND.
It turns out that it would be better for the Russian side to act in such a way as to avoid a major Western alliance in the region. It will be easier for the country to do this than for the United States to introduce unification.
The Russian side has managed to consolidate its influence in the region, where it seeks prominence. However, Romania and Bulgaria are part of the western groups, and Ukraine has aspired to them.
It turns out that Russia can achieve a result in a completely diplomatic way. Incentives such as summits, agreements and cheap gas can be presented for Bulgaria and Turkey.
At the same time, informational influence can be sought in Romania, as well as pressure on Ukraine. It turns out that these countries would rather not give in, while Bulgaria and Turkey would be willing to withdraw from joint Western action in the Black Sea.
Any hesitancy on the part of Bulgaria to support regional initiatives could affect unity. In reality, Russia can maintain its influence in the region much more realistically through diplomacy.
U.S
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