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l However, the delay may also be due to antigen tests, which are not included in official statistics.
l Forecasts of a large increase in the number of victims are confirmed
l Three priests went for days to the Blagoevgrad region
New diagnoses with COVID-19 in weekly comparison (as of November 14) continue to grow, but at a slightly slower rate: 22,950 this week, compared to 21,641 in the previous year. Thus, its growth was 6% last week compared to 41.6% last year, 80.8% last year, and 76.5% three weeks ago. This is reported by analyst Tihomir Bezlov, who monitors every Sunday the trend in the spread of the infection in our country. In small countries like Bulgaria, the trend looks better on a weekly basis, he said.
However, the percentage diagnosed by number of tests continued to increase to 37.9% from 30.3% the previous week and 24.5% two weeks earlier.
The problem that arises in PCR tests is that for the first time since September 26, they are made less than in the previous week (60,633 compared to 71,318) and are more or less at the level of two weeks ago, Bezlov said. And it suggests that the cause may be antigenic tests.
“People may prefer to have antigen tests done because they are 3-4 times cheaper than PCR and are not on the quarantine list. It is possible that the high percentage of positive PCR tests can be explained by the fact that if a positive antigen test is performed, a PCR test is performed and the probability that the test is positive is much higher, ”said the expert from the Center for the Study of Democracy.
The bad news is that the projected increase in the number of deaths has been confirmed again and also has an anti-record: 459 people.
However, the “ceiling” of the number of daily cases appears to have been reached, Bezlov hopes. But next week it will show if that’s the case.
At least
“Die” in
Sofia,
If we look at 100,000 inhabitants and compare them with those diagnosed, it is among their other conclusions. “It is not surprising that we know that Sofia is another country,” said the analyst. (See the table of districts compiled by him. 1851 died officially on November 11, but for 67 of the cases there is no registered settlement).
As of November 15, with 36 new cases per day, the national information portal reported 2,091 victims of the coronavirus since the start of the pandemic in Bulgaria. 2,498 were recently infected, but fewer tests were done on weekends. The high percentage of positives from the total number of PCR tests (about 38%) is preserved. On Sunday, 5,166 were hospitalized, 536 of them in intensive care units.
Weekly, the number of deaths (from November 7 to 14) is 459, a new anti-record. The previous one was last week – 353, 195 were the victims 2 weeks ago.
On a two-seater basis, the growth is even more alarming: at 67% (+801 people), which places us in second place in the Balkans and fourth in Europe.
Deaths can be predicted to continue to rise given the number of patients admitted to intensive care and the fact that they are delayed by 3-5 weeks compared to new diagnoses.
Three priests from the diocese of Nevrokop have died in the last 5 days. There are no officially reported causes, but the virus is unofficially known to have killed two of them. The black series that shocked the laity in the area began on November 10. The Diocese of Nevrokop lost the priest Dimitar Tudjarov of the church “St. Saint Cosmas and Damien ”in Sandanski, formerly served in Melnik. On November 14, at the age of 56, the priest Nikola Dimitrov from the Sandanski village of Katuntsi died. His funeral was performed yesterday by Metropolitan Seraphim of Nevrokop. An hour earlier came the other sad news: Father Stoyan Ivanov from the village of Polenitsa near Sandanski. While running the parish in Struma, he began building a church in the village. You are now ready for consecration.
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