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We have not yet reached the peak values of the epidemic in our country and the numbers will only increase. Mathematician Petar Velkov warned about this on BNT’s morning block.
Velkov expects that in the next 10 days the number of people needing emergency medical attention will increase. Deaths are expected to increase in the next 14 days. Until the end of the month, the increase in the number of infected will continue, depending on the measures. According to all leading epidemiologists and front-line physicians measures must be reinforcedPetar Velkov was categorical.
According to him, there are several examples in Europe and not only: the longer we delay, the longer it takes to see the effect of the measures and blocking. According to him, the cases will increase in the first days, even if now the measures are tightened.
3,938 new cases of coronavirus, 117 victims, 313 people in serious condition
9949 tests were carried out, ..
Velkov explained that if action is taken now, then we will have a much quieter holiday in December with our families and we can start the year more calmly, which is good financially.
The mathematician reported that at this time 20,000 is the difference between active and quarantined cases – that is, there are 20,000 active people who are not in quarantine and potentially spread the virus.
“We are not managing the pandemic, we trust the luck and the conscience of the people. We currently do not have data on the real situation, which is very worrying. The preparation of mathematical models is more and more difficult and we do not know what is the real number of infected people in Bulgaria, it is difficult to make calculations ”, Velkov was categorical.
According to mathematics the hospitalization data is not real either, since a significant percentage of people who need hospital treatment do not have access to hospitalization. According to various data, mortality is perhaps 50% higher than that of COVID-19.
Soon we’ll be chasing 200 deaths a day We have already spent three consecutive days with more than 100 pieces. Currently we see mortality as a result of the week around November 1, and then we had twice as many infected, which means that at the end of the month mortality will double, predicts the mathematician.
One in three deaths in our country due to the coronavirus
5,000 lives could have been saved with stricter measures over the summer
He waits to soon top almost all the charts in Europe, because the situation is totally omitted.
Attendance training is a problem schools are an accelerator of the pandemic because children are carriers, although most contract the disease asymptomatically, said Velkov, who is also a math teacher.
“Yesterday, our 33-year-old fellow teacher lost the battle with the coronavirus without any illness and left a wife and son. That is why we created a fund for the children of the characters, so let us leave whoever wants to help,” Velkov urged.
It’s scary right now: we don’t have teachers, there’s a high incidence, and the death rate is extremely high. – 1.5% for teachers. If this continues, soon there will be no one to teach our children, concludes the mathematician.
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