Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenThe Memo: Democrats pitch Biden as the back-to-normal candidate Obama congratulates Biden with formal nomination Jill Biden gives personal portrait of man Joe MOREThe chief pollster says the Democratic presidential nominee is ready to build a broader coalition than himself Barack ObamaBarack Hussein ObamaObama Congratulates Biden on Formal Nomination Democrats Vs. Republicans in the race for ‘streamers’ White liberalism, Kamala Harris, and the symbols of race and status MAY managed in his election campaigns, improved among voters who have favored Republican candidates in recent years.
Pollster John Anzalone said during an interview Wednesday at an event sponsored by the American Petroleum Institute that Biden benefits from an official president who holds a record, one who is no longer the abstract candidate who struck Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham Clinton Democrats nominate Biden officially for President Clinton tears in Trump over COVID-19 response in conventional speech Here are the high-profile Republicans who support Biden in 2016.
“We are dealing with a president who is not hypothetical, and he was in 2016,” Anzalone said. “At the moment, voters are judging Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpThe Memo: Democrats pitch Biden as the back-to-normal candidate Obama congratulates Biden with formal nomination Jill Biden gives personal portrait of man Joe MORE as president, and they judge him for how he abused the coronavirus. You see his negative position at 60 percent. “
Anzalone pointed to public interviews showing that Biden is leading among independent voters, among those with university degrees, among suburbs and even among seniors.
“These are four groups that Trump not only won, but [2012 GOP nominee Mitt] Romney won, and people forget that. “Barack Obama did not win those four groups in his 2012 reelection. That Biden’s coalition has expanded,” Anzalone said. “He has also limited the margins within what are traditionally Republican bases, and that is a strong candidate.”
Anzalone said public polls that showed Biden was running well for Trump were not a trace, and not a repeat of the 2016 election when some polls put Clinton ahead in the states that Trump won. The Biden campaign focuses its time and resources on six states – North Carolina, Florida, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania – that Trump won in 2016.
“We are laser-focused on 270 election votes, and we do paid communication in six major field-state states, and there can be decisions on the line about each expansion,” he said.
Public polls have shown tight races in more traditional Republican states such as Iowa, Georgia, Texas and Ohio. Anzalone pointed in particular to Georgia, where Trump’s campaign is spending money on defending a state that Trump won by 5 points four years ago. At the same time, the Biden team is spending money in Nevada, a state that voted Democratic in the last three presidential games.
“Donald Trump does not currently have paid communications in Michigan, but he plays defense and does a lot of paid communications in Georgia, a state he won by a reasonably decent margin,” Anzalone said. “We feel comfortable and confident in Nevada, but at the same time, you want to protect a state that you have won.”
Biden’s biggest advantage may come from a small but growing number of voters, who see both presidential nominees in an unfavorable light. Trump won voters who rejected both him and Clinton by a margin of 20 points in 2016; this year, Biden leads among those voters.
Anzalone said that is because more voters see Trump as very unfavorable, a tough position from which it is difficult to recover. Fewer voters see Biden very unfavorably, although they may see him in a negative light because of his party colleague.
“They do not like him as a person or as a man as a leader,” Anzalone said.
As for Trump, he added: “It approaches 50 percent of the voters who cut him off.”
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