A new poll on Wisconsin’s crucial general election battleground state indicates that Democratic challenger Joe Biden is opening an advantage over President Trump. And a new poll in the state of Ohio shows the alleged Democratic presidential candidate practically linked to the Republican incumbent in the White House.
Biden leads the president 49-41 percent among registered voters in Wisconsin, according to a Marquette Law School poll released Wednesday. And the former vice president beats Trump 46-45 percent in Ohio in a Quinnipiac University poll that also came out Wednesday. Biden’s 1-point advantage is within the survey sampling error.
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The two polls are released four and a half months before the November general election, which is an eternity in campaign politics.
Biden’s 8-point lead in the Marquette poll is above a 3-point lead in the previous poll, which was conducted last month.
“We saw very stable polls during the spring, but there is more movement towards Biden in this poll,” said Charles Franklin, the poll’s director. “It is a relatively widespread gain. He’s collecting in different regions and different groups. “
The poll shows Biden with overwhelming Democratic support and the president easily capturing Republican voters, with independents vying for Biden in a plurality of 38-30 percent. In last month’s poll, Trump kept the lead among independent voters.
The president’s approval rating in the poll is 45-51 percent, up from 47-49 percent last month.
Wisconsin is one of three states called the “Rust Belt,” along with Pennsylvania and Michigan, which Democrats conducted in the quarter-century presidential election until Trump changed them from blue to red in 2016, which It helped him upset the Democrats. Hillary Clinton nominated to win the White House.
The Marquette Law School poll was conducted June 14-18, with 805 registered voters in Wisconsin questioned by live phone operators. The sampling error of the survey is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.
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A Fox News poll in Wisconsin conducted three weeks ago indicated Biden with a 9-point lead over the president.
A Fox News poll also on the field at the same time showed Biden with a 2-point lead in Ohio, which was basically a draw as the margin was within the poll’s sampling error.
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Quinnipiac’s new poll in Ohio also showed that the race was knotted. It indicated the expected extremely broad partisan divide, with the president narrowly outnumbering Biden 44-40 percent among independent voters.
Ohio has long been a crucial state on the battlefield in the presidential general election. The winner has won it in every election since 1964. President Obama led the state by 3 points in his 2012 reelection, but Trump turned Ohio red in 2016, winning by 8 points.
“You have to go back 60 years to find an election in which Ohio was NOT an axis or a path to the presidency. That is why this narrow horse race is so profoundly consistent,” said the University of Quinnipiac, Tim Malloy.
The president’s approval and disapproval rating is 44-53 percent.
The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted June 18-22, with 1,139 self-identified registered voters in Ohio questioned by live phone operators. The survey sampling error is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.