Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has an upper-one-figure lead over President Trump in nearly two new national polls since the Republican National Convention last week.
But in all the national polls in the White House race, the showdown between the former vice president and the Republican incumbent shows a little narrow.
According to a poll released by USA Today / Suffolk University on Wednesday, Biden Trump has over 50-43% of registered voters across the country. The former vice president’s seven-point advantage is lower than the 12-point lead in the previous USA Today / Suffolk University survey, which was conducted in June. The new poll was conducted on 28-31 August, after the full GOP convention.
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If the election were to be held today, it would also be released on Wednesday in Grinnell College’s national poll, showing Trump ahead of Biden by 49% -41% of potential voters across the country. The survey was conducted by Selzer and company – both during and after Republican Kabaddi – on August 26-30.
The average of all recent national polls in the Biden-Trump race, compiled by Real Clear Politics, to Biden.3. points indicate by points (.9 48..9% -42૨..6%). G.O.P. At the start of the conference, on August 24, it is slightly lower than the 7.8-point lead Biden held in the Real Clear Politics Average (50-1% -42.3%).
But the race for the White House is not based on national popular opinion. If it were, the 2016 Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton would be president now. Instead the presidential election is a battle of states and their electorate.
According to a recent poll, Biden retains the edge in most major election battle states, but his advantage is narrowed.
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Biden has a 3.7-point edge over Trump, in the largest state of key swings, in Fulida Rida, according to the average of a recent state survey prepared by Ring Clear Politics. Biden 7.6 points in Wisconsin, 7.7 points in Pennsylvania, points in Wisconsin. points, Arizona is up 2.3 points and Minnesota is up 3.3 points. The president has an edge of 1 point in North Carolina and 1.3 points in Georgia.
On this date four years ago, Clinton took a 2.4-point advantage over Trump. The race got tougher and Clinton topped Trump in the national popular vote with a 2% increase. But Trump linked Clinton to the main battlefields of Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, flipping from blue to red all around to capture the White House.
David Pellegos, director of political research at Suffolk University, told Fox News – with two months to go until election day, but some early voting and absentee voting going on this month – “Nationally, the race is closing with a lot of strangers, that It has not been determined like the covid vaccine, racial conflict and the state of the economy. Seven key states can determine the outcome. “
According to a new survey by Grinnell College, Biden Trump has a% – 34 %%% of women and 64% -31% of suburban women. Keeping an eye on women and suburban voters, the president has repeatedly highlighted his law and order approach to the unrest and outbreak of violence between minorities and nationwide protests against racial injustice over the past two weeks.
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Biden also has many advantages over unsuspecting voters and those living in large metropolitan areas.
Polyester j. “In addition to the benefits of eight issues in total, this vote shows some areas of inner strength for the former vice president,” Ann Selzer said. “Mr. Biden has a huge lead with a moderate 55-33%, which is a plurality of voters; he benefits from a 10-point lead among independents who are not inclined towards any political party, 44-34%.”
Polls show that the president has a 2 to 1 advantage over white men without a degree degree (64-3–31%) and is ahead of white women without a college degree (-42-43%). Trump also dominates rural voters (58-36%) and evangelicals (63-27%).
The USA Today / Suffolk survey raises significant doubts about whether the results of the presidential election can be trusted. If their candidate loses, one in about four voters has asked if they are unwilling to accept the result as fair and accurate.
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Months after the president’s claim that voting by mail would lead to fraud and rigged elections, the poll found that 83% of Republicans say they are at least somewhat concerned that mail-in voting will lead to voter fraud. Only a third of Democrats share that concern.
F six percent of Republicans say they will vote individually on election day, compared to 26 percent among Democrats. The poll suggests Democrats are more than twice as likely as Republicans to vote by absentee ballot or by mail.
