Biden enjoys clear advantage in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, as VP announcement comes close.


Former Vice President Joe Biden smiles as he speaks during a campaign event in William
Former Vice President Joe Biden smiles as he speaks during a campaign event at the William “Hicks” Anderson Community Center in Wilmington, Delaware on July 28, 2020.
ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / Getty Images

Another poll this weekend provides fresh good news for Joe Biden, as the former vice president has a decisive lead in two states that were the key to President Donald Trump’s victory. Biden leads Trump 48 percent to 42 percent in Wisconsin, according to the CBS / YouGov Battleground Tracker interview. The same question shows that Biden leads Pennsylvania by 49 percent, compared to Trump’s 43 percent. In 2016, Trump won Wisconsin with 47 percent of the vote, while he took Pennsylvania with 48 percent.

Most voters in the two major states are not happy with the direction of the country. Three-quarters of voters in the two states say things are going badly in the United States. And when it comes to treating the coronavirus, 47 * percent of voters in each state say Biden would do a better job than Trump. In contrast, only 37 percent of registered voters in Pennsylvania and 32 percent of those in Wisconsin say Trump would do a better job with the pandemic. And it is the pandemic that has turned into the key indicator that candidate voters support. Biden has a clear advantage among those who have concerns about contracting COVID-19, while Trump has the support of the vast majority of people who have no worries at all about getting the coronavirus.

Although a majority of voters in both states said the election of Biden’s vice presidency was not particularly important to them, a closer look at the numbers suggests it could have a profound impact on the race. A majority of those already campaigning for Biden’s support say his election is not important. But, in contrast, among those who do not vote for Biden, but who say they may consider supporting him, 70 percent say the election of a vice president is important.

Biden’s long-awaited decision on his vice-presidential candidate is expected this week. The presumptive Democratic presidential nominee spent the weekend at his home in Rehoboth Beach, Delaware, and could announce his final decision in the coming days. But seeing as Biden has already missed deadlines he has set himself for making the election public, those close to the former vice president are sure to point out that the only real deadline is the Democratic National Convention, which runs August 17. begins.

For now, anything that can be done can be speculated. Gretchen Whitmer, Michigan, for example, traveled to Delaware last weekend to meet with Biden. Others who are clearly at work include sen. Kamala Harris and President Obama’s National Security Adviser Susan Rice. Rep. Karen Bass of California, Massachusetts, s. Elizabeth Warren, and Illinois, sen. Tammy Duckworth, are also believed to be still in the process. Rep. Val Demings from Florida and New Mexico, Michelle Lujan Grisham are also considered. Biden made a brief fuss on Saturday when a Fox News reporter asked him during a bike ride if he had chosen a running mate. “Yes, I have,” said Biden. When the reporter asked who it was, Biden said, “You.” The Biden campaign later made clear the former vice president was just kidding. “Can’t believe anyone thought we would break this news with FOX when Joe Biden is on a bike ride,” Symone Sanders, a senior advisor for Biden’s campaign, tweeted.

Correction at 18.48: Due to a typo, this piece initially said 4 percent of voters in each state thought Biden would do a better job than Trump in treating the coronavirus.