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The fact that the number of infections increased less rapidly before March 16 is not proof of the ineffectiveness of the initial restrictions. It can be explained with a simple fact.
In debate over the necessity or usefulness of the drastic quarantine and isolation measures introduced in mid-March, critics of the regulations repeatedly raised the argument that the increase in the number of infections had slowed in the previous days. Which, in turn, could be an indication that the corona virus is a kind of seasonal epidemic and that the spread could have been controlled without such extensive countermeasures.
In fact, Austria’s (provisional) triumphal march against the virus began as early as the week before March 16, that is, before entry restrictions, strict rules of conduct and assembly bans came into effect, the effects of which They are visible approximately one to two weeks later because the incubation period for Covid-19 should be.