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It’s done: the top title favorite Novak Djokovic was eliminated from the tournament with his disqualification, and Dominic Thiem himself is getting better and better at the 2020 US Open. The next hurdle in the quarterfinals is Alex de Miñaur (around 3 am CET on the LIVE or LIVE ticker on ServusTV).
It’s no wonder that all of Tennis Austria is asking a single question these days: will it finally work out the long-awaited first major title for 27-year-old Lower Austria at the 26th Grand Slam tournament?
But is the third in the world ranking really the great candidate for the title? Or are most Austrians more eager to be the father of thought?
We take a closer look at the matter and list what speaks for and against Dominic Thiem’s triumph at the 2020 US Open:
What are the advantages of Dominic Thiem?
Routine diet: Of the six men left in the field, only the Spanish Pablo Carreño Busta is two years older. Furthermore, Thiem can also refer by far to the best experience on the court. In addition to his three previous Grand Slam finals, he has also reached the French Open semi-finals two more times.
The statistics: Thiem has no negative balance against any of the five tennis partners who are still in the competition. On the contrary: in all head-to-head balances, the Lichtenwörther is, in some cases significantly, ahead.
The course of the tournament: Dominic Thiem has had to play twelve sets so far and was able to save significant energy for the final phase of the two-week Grand Slam tournament. In total, he was on the pitch for just over eight hours. Only Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreño Busta have similar figures.
Upward curve: As the tournament progresses, Dominic Thiem is getting better and better. After a somewhat difficult start against Jaume Munar, the 27-year-old has been improving game by game. The last two sets against Felix Auger-Aliassime in the round of 16 were already close to perfection.
No pressure: Due to the corona pandemic, Flushing Meadows is almost like a ghost town. In the final phase, there are only a few people in the system. The lack of hustle and bustle is certainly not a disadvantage for Thiem, who is now in the favorite position for his debut title.
Taktikfuchs Nicolas Massu: Since signing the Chilean more than a year ago, a lot has changed for the better in Dominic Thiem’s game. In New York, this time the plan worked to eliminate some reverse risks. The change took place in summer. “Now it has really paid off for the first time,” says Thiem, who is also perfectly tailored by Massu for each opponent.
What speaks against Dominic Thiem?
Lean bottom line: Dominic Thiem has already reached three Grand Slam finals and the final of the ATP Tour Final in London 2019. However, it still hasn’t been enough to win the big title. Although Thiem approached step by step, a final trauma slowly threatens.
New position as top favorite: There is an advantage to playing in the era of Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic: you will not fall into the role of the title favorite in a Grand Slam tournament. However, since Djokovic was disqualified in the round of 16, this is Thiem. You will see how comfortable you will feel in this role.
Daniil Medvedev Supreme Form: Last year’s finalist stormed the US Open quarterfinals in impressive fashion. Unlike Thiem, the Russian convinced from the first lap. In 2019 he briefly had a hand in the cup in the final against Rafael Nadal. This year it seems ready for the next step.
Late starters: One small weakness that Dominic Thiem has been struggling with for years is that he starts a relatively difficult match. It always takes a little until the factory works. An unnecessarily missed first sentence can be very painful at this level and have fatal consequences.
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