Voters on the move: Trump’s base is crumbling



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Older people and white men sometimes approach Biden, but the bottom line is that Trump still does better here. Latinos could secure Trump’s mandatory victory in Florida

05.33 am, November 04, 2020

This time Trump loses senior votes.
This time Trump loses senior votes. © AFP (ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS)

It is still too early to predict with any certainty a winner in the US presidential election. But early voter polls on Tuesday show that, on the one hand, important cornerstones of Republican President Donald Trump’s base are shaking. On the other hand, it also performed better than four years ago with the rapidly growing and therefore increasingly important group of Latino voters.

With white men and older people, of all places, Trump was not able to score as well as in 2016, at least in some states. This is the result of post-election polls conducted by Edison Research experts. Some voters said they defected to Biden, even though Trump still did better than the Democratic candidate on balance with these groups. In Georgia, for example, seven out of ten white men voted for Trump. In 2016, there were eight when Trump beat Hillary Clinton. The situation is similar with voters aged 65 and over. Six out of ten voted for Trump, four years ago it was seven out of ten. A similar image emerged in Virginia.

Election day in America. There is a head-to-head race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

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Fight against Corona important electoral criterion

Yet in hotly contested Florida, as in 2016, six out of ten white voters said they had voted for Trump. Furthermore, half of the Latinos voted for him.. In the last presidential election it was only four out of ten. If Trump achieves his mandatory victory in the Sunshine State, he should owe it above all to Latinos. His strategy of winning over the numerous Cuban-origin voters in populous South Florida, many of whom once fled the communist-ruled Caribbean island, alongside him with a tough anti-Cuba policy, would have worked. In all, three out of ten non-white voters voted for Trump. It was just two out of ten against Clinton.

For the polls, Edison interviewed voters directly on Tuesday and previously at polling stations where early voters could cast their ballots before Election Day. Pollsters also conducted telephone interviews with Americans who voted by mail.

The coronavirus pandemic worried voters in particular. More than 9.4 million people have been infected in the United States and more than 230,000 have died. In Edison’s national poll, only two out of ten voters said Corona was the most important criterion for them in their voting decision. Half of the voters said it was more important to contain the pandemic, even if it hurt the economy.

Trump, on the other hand, made the total opening of the economy a directive during the election campaign, despite the increasing number of infections. Biden also accuses him of not having fought the pandemic. In by-election polls, four out of ten voters described efforts to contain the virus as “very bad.”

In the US capital, Washington, as part of the US elections, people took to the streets under the slogan “Black Lives Matter.”

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Six out of ten voters said the pandemic left them with at least “moderate economic hardship.” Seven out of ten said it was their responsibility to wear mouth and nose protection for public health reasons. In addition to the corona pandemic, voters mentioned the economic situation, racism, crime and security, as well as health policy, as important issues for them.



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