Epidemiologist: “AGES calculations shouldn’t work”



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What measures?

An important weapon against the virus would be effective contact tracing (contact tracing). My son was in bed with a corona infection three weeks ago. No one contacted him to trace contacts.

Isn’t it simply impossible to keep track of all the contacts of an infected person?

South Korea successfully shows us that it is possible. According to the WHO, a city of two million like Vienna should use 700 people to track contacts. Vienna now has almost 500 people working for this.

Health Minister Rudolf Anschober insists that there should be a vaccine in January. Are you that optimistic too?

I am less optimistic than the Minister of Health. Ten vaccines are currently in the final testing phase. The first study won’t be finished until the spring. Then you have to produce the vaccine. We will not have a vaccine before early summer, and that will only happen if the studies go well.

The ÖVP requires a free trial after five days. A sensible measure?

Five days is the mean incubation time from infection to onset of symptoms in about half of those infected. Also, the tests are not perfect. He would have to do the tests several times. With the greatest freedom of choice, we would run a very high risk.

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