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Vorarlbergs Governor Markus Wallner (ÖVP) had started the public debate this week saying, given the Crown crisis not only do you have the Vorarlberg Government program, but also rethink that in the federal government. Chancellor Sebastian Kurz (ÖVP) and vice chancellor Werner Kogler (Green) only emphasized that cooperation between government parties was good – before, within and after Crisis.
For Filzmaier The growing discussion is easy to understand. After events as dramatic as in the context of the Crown crisis The political scientist believes that we must talk about new pillars. The “best of both worlds” was based on positive economic development: it is clear to him that this can no longer work. It is only interesting if the government New commitments are discussed behind closed doors or how Wallner on the media stage. But “objectively there is less money,” he says. FilzmaierTherefore, a fight for distribution will not be absent.
Two lighthouse projects
As a possible way out Filzmaieryes so much the ÖVP as well as the Greens one or two lighthouse projects of the Government program could hold In your opinion the discussion boiled down to the question of whether the government agree on compromises on factual issues or if there is a fundamental ideological debate, as might be the case with property taxes.
Hofer The APA discussion showed that the Greens will continue to insist on greening and that parts of the planned tax reform will continue. When it comes to property taxes, he does not consider it impossible for the Chancellor to study it briefly, perhaps with a different name than “solidarity tax.” The political scientist sees things very differently. Filzmaierwho does not believe that it is with him ÖVP will give new taxes. However, there are only two options, namely additional taxes or additional debts. “Debt is very cheap right now,” he said. Filzmaier and called the situation “naturally tempting”. However, if this situation worsens, so does the pressure to talk about new taxes. Filzmaier.
Hofer In any case, he is convinced that the parties are already considering who will get which item out of which hat and when. In general, wait for the tone in the government after facing the hot phase of Crown crisis it will tighten significantly again. That was before Crisis in your opinion it could, according to Crisis go to a distribution debate. The demands of Vorarlbergs Governor Wallner they are just a first bet out of position, so Hofer.
Both political experts do not believe in the upcoming elections, although they independently described the good results of the popular party polls as “tempting” for some ÖVP strategists. “The self-confidence of ÖVP is sure to grow with good surveys, “he said Hofer Although he does not currently want to over-interpret the new electoral discussions, he emphasized. The values of the survey are “very volatile”, in addition, the good values of the survey are a “crisis bonus”, so Hofer.
New electoral speculation
Also for Filzmaier The new electoral speculations are “very questionable in terms of democracy in times of crisis,” as he said. An election would also take place “not next Sunday, but in the fall as soon as possible”, and it is questionable whether the crisis bond can be used until then. If that ÖVP Now he believes that simply reaching the absolute majority is “on the edge of the game,” he said.
Among other things, due to the uncertain subsequent development of the Crown crisis – “What if a second, third wave arrives?” – believe Filzmaierthat little will happen until fall, only after that there will be strategy games again, he predicted. At the moment, he would consider new elections a “risk game,” he said. FilzmaierBut he added: “By 2021 and after, no one can rule anything out.”
