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What should happen now? This is how the experts respond:
“Lockdown zu light”
Erich Neuwirth, statistician and mathematician
“Based on the data, I think the situation is too confusing at the moment to be able to make far-reaching decisions. I would wait two days for the infection figures to be tracked again. In principle, I am of the opinion that the shutdown light it was too mild anyway.
If the numbers keep increasing, you should definitely take stronger action. But it takes time for this to work. If the current measures were to take effect, there would first have to be a flattening. But I don’t see them. In my role, I cannot say much about individual measures because their effects can hardly be unraveled.
From a socio-political point of view, I mean: closing the school can only be the last resort. What I would have liked is that he had taken other measures at the same time as the fall break, because then the school would automatically have closed. That would have been a difficult closure without the consequences of an unscheduled school closure.
“Be reasonable”
Barbara Friesenecker, MedUni Instruck for Intensive Care
“It is not expected that the figures will change the next day. We are two weeks late, we will only see an effect of the current measures at the end of the month, at the beginning of December. The problem at the moment is that the new infections are strong come to the private sector.
What is special about the SARS-CoV-2 virus is that you are contagious before you feel sick and have symptoms. That is why it is very risky to gather in groups indoors. To flatten the steeply increasing infection curves, you must now be sensible: keep your distance, wash and disinfect your hands, and ventilate a lot in closed rooms.
The dangerous thing about this virus is that it causes generalized inflammatory responses in the body. That means: It’s a complete lottery game for anyone who gets sick with a mild cough or is on our heart-lung machine. This can happen not only to older people with previous illnesses, but also to younger people. This knowledge does not seem to have reached many yet. “
“Be creative”:
Christoph Steininger, virologist and infectologist at MedUni Vienna
“The most recently prescribed measures went into effect a week ago. We know from the first lockdown that it takes two weeks before the effects can be seen. Therefore, I would wait a few more days. At least as long as we can predict that we still have capabilities. Enough hospitals, and as they become increasingly scarce, it is no longer possible to wait too long to make a decision on adjustment.
Now clearly defined strategies must be prepared to extend the blockade. In my opinion, this would include the revival in both retail and the workplace, where a lot of people still hang out. Like in schools. Here it is important not only to discuss the closure, but also to consider what alternatives there may be for the future if the virus continues to circulate.
No matter what limitation you ultimately set, you pay a price for it – it has to be well calculated. There is no magic formula that fixes our problem, other than a complete lockdown, which is also the least creative way. “
