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From these data, the OGM Institute created a statistical model to estimate the voting behavior of the two groups of immigrants. According to this, Austrians born in Serbia tend more towards the SPÖ (46 percent) and FPÖ (9) than the general population. On the other hand, ÖVP (16 percent) and Greens (12) get weaker scores. The list of Heinz-Christian Strache, who as head of the FP campaigned massively among Serbian immigrants, is slightly stronger than the overall result, but only reaches five percent.
20 percent for SÖZ
In general, however, the voting behavior of immigrants from Serbia differs less clearly from the overall result than that of Austrians born in Turkey. For them, the model calculation also shows a higher participation of SPÖ (45 percent). In second place in this group is the small party SÖZ (Social Austria of the future) with 20 percent. As GMO’s Clara Himmelbauer points out to the APA, the SÖZ list had its strongest results in community building blocks with a high proportion of Turkish immigrants. For comparison: in the overall result, the party, founded by Hakan Gördü, former deputy director of the AKP-affiliated “Union of European-Turkish Democracies”, managed only 1.2 percent. In contrast, all other parties are significantly below their overall result for immigrants from Turkey: the ÖVP achieved only 10 percent more than the Greens (9) and FPÖ (6).