An increase in Covid-19 in the fall and winter could kill 2,900 Americans a day. Here’s why, and how you can turn the tide


But it doesn’t have to be that way. With a smart approach in these cold-weather months, researchers say you can ignore their dire projections.

Health experts say cold weather, flu season, resumed schools and epidemic fatigue are a recipe for even more difficult months in the fight against coronavirus. Here’s why:

Cold weather: When more people gather indoors, there is less chance of spreading viral particles – the risk of spreading coronavirus increases.

Young, formerly healthy adults suffer from long-term complications from Covid-19
And “there is good enough data to say that aerosol transmission (of coronavirus) occurs,” said Dr. A.S. Said Anthony Fauci.
Respiratory aerosols are smaller than respiratory drops and can be expelled when a person speaks or breathes.

“Aerosols mean that the droplets don’t land immediately. They keep moving for a period of time,” Fawcett said.

This becomes “very consistent” when you are indoors and there is poor ventilation.

Flu-coronavirus double wami: The flu season usually begins in October. And this year its collision with the coronavirus epidemic could take a toll on the health care system – and your own body.
Yes, you can take Covid-19 and Flu at the same time.  Here’s what it can do to your body

“You can get both Flu and Covid-19 at the same time, which can be devastating to your immune system,” said Dr. Adrian Broise, a family medicine physician in Florida.

Seema Yasmin, director of the Stanford Health Communication Initiative, said that, in fact, one of the two viruses could make you more at risk of being infected by the other.

“Your defenses go down, and that makes you susceptible to another infection on top,” Yasmin said.

Getting a flu shot this year may be more important than ever

Outbreaks appear to be exacerbated during school and college campuses: Many of the schools that brought students back to classrooms are on the verge of an outbreak that could only grow in the coming months.

The study says Covid-19 cases are on the rise among college-age people

And once students and teachers become infected, they can inadvertently spread the virus to their communities.

The University of Georgia home, Athens-Clark County, managed to keep its Covid-19 numbers relatively low throughout the summer, but it suffered a “dramatic spike” in community cases, Mayor Kelly Girtez said.

The mayor said it is clear that a large number of students who do not come here during the summer are expected to return to campus.

Some universities have canceled the spring break due to concerns about Covid-19. These include Syracuse University, Georgia Tech and Ohio State.

Epidemic We are nowhere near flock immunity, and the vaccine will probably not be available to the public until mid-2021.
Until then, U.S.HME. On Monday, U.S. The daily death toll is expected to continue to rise by the end of this year, reaching more than 2,900 U.S. deaths a day by December 27.
Even after months of Covid-19 infection, patients experience difficulty breathing and more fatigue

IHME The director of Dr. There are two main reasons for this assumption, said Christopher Murray.

“First, as the number of cases in some states has decreased, we see that the less people become more cautious, the more they approach,” he said. “But the most important effect after that is the season of the virus – the more people go inside the house, the more transmission there is.

“That’s why our model Dell Surge shows huge growth as it lands in October and is expected to gain momentum in December.”

How can we stop this winter surge?

Just because the epidemic is still here doesn’t mean you can’t enjoy the fall and winter fun.

Stay out if you can: Everyone should limit their interactions in indoor places, said Dr. David Aronoff, director of the department at Vanderbilt University Medical Center for Infectious Diseases.

If you have gatherings, invest in ways to keep them out of the house – perhaps with a fire pit, warm coat or heat lamp, said Dr. George, a physician and visiting professor in the emergency room of the Milken Institute School at George Washington University. Public health.

The next few months can be ugly.  Here's how to stay safe
Wear a mask: Health experts say wearing a face mask with two or more breathable layers is one of the cheapest, easiest and most effective ways to control the virus and Getting life closer to normal, faster.
If you are a non-therapeutic carrier of the virus, a mask can stop you from inhaling viral particles without your knowledge.
Experts say it could also help save the lives of thousands of people. If 95% of Americans continued to wear masks in public, 100,000 U.S. lives could be saved by January 1, according to IHME.
And it is estimated that by the end of December, the daily death toll will drop from about 1,000,000 to nearly 100,000 if virtually all Americans wear face masks in public.

If you visit friends or family, do it wisely: “We know by now that much of the spread of the Covid-19 is really driven not by formal settings but by informal gatherings of family and friends.” “Some people will let go of their guard with loved ones.”

These Covid-19 are travel restrictions by the state

If you must travel for the holidays, cut down on risky behaviors before your trip, such as eating in an indoor restaurant or staying in touch with people you don’t live with.

It is also a good idea to test before seeing loved ones. But don’t get a misunderstanding of safety with negative test results.
“Sometimes there are also false negatives, which means you have the disease but the test can’t detect it,” according to Penn Medicine.

“Because it’s possible to get a negative result even when you have a coronavirus, you need to be careful when you get a negative result.”

And even if the result of a negative test is correct, you may have been infected since that test was taken.

Find fun ways to celebrate the holidays safely: This season can’t be doomed and gloomy. In fact, the CDC offers a long list of ways to safely celebrate Halloween and Thanksgiving.
50 Fun Things to Do This Fall (Take Your Choice)

Instead of Halloween parties or trick-or-treating, the CDC suggests pumpkin carving at a safe distance with your family or with friends and neighbors.

“Children are given a list of Halloween-themed items where they walk from house to house at the distance of Halloween decorations,” the CDC said.

For Thanksgiving, you can celebrate by having a virtual dinner with friends or family from afar and sharing your favorite Thanksgiving recipe, the CDC said.

You can also help loved ones who are at high risk for Covid-19 or who feel isolated by preparing a traditional Thanksgiving dish “and deliver them in a way that doesn’t involve contact with others.”

CNN’s Scotty Andrew and Shelby Lynn Erdman contributed to this report.

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