He has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential race since Ronald Reagan’s reelection victory in 1984 with his “13 Tests” system. It is worth noting that Lichtman predicted in 2000 that Al Gore would win the election. Although Gore won the popular vote, he eventually lost the presidency to George W. Bush, after the Supreme Court ruled in favor of re-election. To stop Florida. Lichtman insists validity of his prediction.)
Now Lichtman and his “13 keys” are ready to call 2020.
In an interview with CNN, Lichtman was definitive in his response: “The keys predict that Donald Trump will lose the White House this year.”
Lichtman bases his prediction on a model of ’13 keys’ that can be answered as true or false for any given election. The “13 keys” in his system include factors such as the economy, discomfort, social unrest and scandals, as well as the personal charisma of the candidates.
“The secret is keeping an eye on the big picture of introduced strengths and achievements. And pay no attention to the interviews, the pundits, the day – to – day ups and downs of the campaign. And that’s what the tests measure. The big picture, ”Lichtman explained.
When asked if the key model could be something as cataclysmic as the Covid-19 pandemic, Lichtman remained confident. “Look, retrospectively and prospectively, the keys go all the way back to 1860. They are what we call a robust system. So, I do not bore them. They have lasted through enormous changes in our politics, in our economy, in our democracy. Do not fit with the keys, “he explained.
Although Lichtman has been predicting elections since 1982, he states that he still feels the same amount of pressure every four years. “I’m 73 years old,” he told CNN. “But every time, without fail, I get butterflies.”
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