SEOUL – After stepping down next month and who will score the second run in 2024, will the flames of Donald Trump’s legendary bromance with Kim Jong Un burn? The Korean dictator must have liked the sympathy with the former president in Pyongyang, as he paid a courtesy call on former NBA president Dennis Rodman, Kim’s guest in 2013 and again in January, when Rodman sang “Happy” birthdays to other former NBA players. Friend for “
“There is a tussle between Trump and Dennis Rodman,” said David Strobe, a former senior South Korean diplomat. If a sensible person does not trust Trump as a mediator. “
If the whole idea is over, remember that the roadmen who were “fired” twice on Trump’s TV show The Apprentice, Not only voted for him in 2016, but in a demonstration of solidarity during the first visit of both Kim and Trump to their three summits to go to Singapore in June 2018.
No Singaporean leader met with Rodman, but Trump and Kim approached Rodman’s visit to Pyongyang at their meetings. As Kim told Fox News Radio in September, Kim “really likes Dennis Rodman.” Indeed, Trump was of the opinion that “Dennis” would be “better” as North Korea’s ambassador than high-ranking officials who have been there in recent years, especially his secretary of state, Mike Pompeo.
Now that he’s out, Trump may question who is better than running an affair with Kim in Singapore, when he changed, he “fell in love” in the warm embrace of a diplomatic detainee. Similarly, despite the risk of harassing the next president, Biden & Co., Kim would like to host Trump after COVID-19, a country that is no longer a threat to foreigners.
Sources in the Korean government said a meeting between Trump and Kim would be possible given the bonds they formed before Trump’s massive fraud allegations in the November presidential election. Trump said the US-North Korea dialogue with “messages” from Kim could enter, while Biden’s negotiators are eyeing the start of talks with the North.
One official said, “A lot will depend on Biden,” and whether he can submit to the ongoing flow of research that Trump compares against him during the inauguration period. As a guest of Kim Jong Un, it was suggested that Trump certainly believes he can move forward on the basis of his claim to have avoided a second Korean War.
“Like Trump, the people of North Korea have made a career of ‘not giving money to others but giving money to others.’”
Nicholas Ebersdade, a longtime Asia expert at the American Enterprise Institute, said both Kim and Trump have “incentives to appreciate if Trump leaves office, if necessary.” For Kim, the meeting with Trump as former president will be an opportunity to “play the American game.”
Virtually any foreigner can enter North Korea, if there is no trace of Kovid in the tests, but whenever the epidemic is over, Trump will have to yearn for a repeat effort with the dictator. For Trump, Bers Bursadad said, the goal would be to “stay in the public eye, and stick his finger in Biden.”
Trump and Kim have signed joint statements in Singapore, citing Piplo diplomat Joseph Yoon, who served as the US envoy to North Korea from 2016 to 2018, as a basis for diplomacy under Biden.
“It fully agrees to reject and work towards a peace regime,” said U.N. at a symposium here. Said by zoom by. “I do not see why the Biden administration should not accept and recognize it. It should be the first step towards paving the way for negotiations and leading to a long-term agreement. “Already,” he said, “voices in Washington are pushing the Biden team to accept the joint statement.”
Together, the Trump-Kim duo is looking forward to their previous sessions. “Everyone says how Kim will test Biden,” said Bruce Bechol, a former intelligence analyst on North Korea at the Pentagon and author of books and studies on the North. Bechtel asked, “Will Trump be ready to ‘reduce the tension?'” Why not? Who will stop him? This will be another example of DPRK. [North Korean] Diplomacy tactics.
“Kim and Trump may end up with the mutual intention of harming the Biden administration and its foreign policy,” said David Maxwell, now Koshya’s special forces officer, who now has the Democracy of Defense Foundation in Washington. Both are “trying to use the other – I can see Kim looking to exploit Trump to influence the Biden administration.”
Lee Sung-yun of Tufts University’s Fletcher School agreed: “Trump will come if Kim Jong Un speaks.” But will the Biden administration support such a meet-up?
Evans Rever, a retired Korea expert at the State Department, said it is difficult to imagine a new US administration that wants Trump anywhere, just as much as a foreign policy challenge. “The comments that Trump has made about his intentions, along with his government’s policy actions and staff decisions during the transition, tell us that the new administration plans to narrow down, disrupt and disrupt the Biden administration in order to narrow policy options and room. . “
However, in the wake of such considerations, the Trump-Kim meeting in Pyongyang will not just become a joyful alliance of two old allies. The bid will have to stimulate serious talk about new fresh negotiations between his new foreign policy team and North Korean negotiators with long experience in dealing properly with the American people.
Lee Sung-yun said Trump’s visit to the headquarters would “put a lot of pressure on Biden to stay connected with Kim.” Just to attract more diplomatic power, if U.S. negotiators are offended, Lee said Kim could “follow Trump’s hosting by sending his sister to visit Trump in New York” – a potential message to younger sister Kim Yoo Jong after her brother The second most powerful person.
The idea of Trump floating nding over the North Korean capital may take a very long time, while he. Condemning his defeat in the November election, he called it “harsh” and “fraudulent”, but he would not have been the former president before he left. Two of his ancestors also made the pilgrimage.
Jimmy Carter, who was elected president for a term in 1976, first visited Pyongyang in 1994 at the height of the North Korean nuclear crisis when Bill Clinton was president. One month before Kim’s death, regime founder Kim Il Sung, in a meeting with Kim Jong Un’s grandfather, returned with a promise to stabilize Carter North’s nuclear program.
Clinton was anxious to travel to Pyongyang in the final week of her eight-year presidency in 2000, but sat behind her vice president, the defeat of Al Gore, and the election results of George W. Bush during the vote count in Florida. .
Nine years later, in Barack Obama’s first year as president, Clinton arrived in Pyongyang on a private plane carrying two American journalists, Laura Ling and Una Lee, who were imprisoned two months ago after crossing the narrow Tumen River from China. North Korean side while shooting for Gore’s current TV. Before Clinton and her mass marriage, Lee and Lee, floated on board, Kim Il Sung’s son and Kim Jong Un’s father, Kim Jong-il, had a three-hour meal.
Councilor Scott Schneider, a Korea expert on foreign relations, warns, however, that Republican Trump will be reluctant to follow in the footsteps of these two former democratic presidents.
“I’ve thought about it, but I wonder if anyone will tell Trump that both former presidents Carter and Clinton have gone to Pyongyang, because it won’t be unprecedented,” Snyder said. “The KJU will have to decide how it handles its pen-pal relationship with Trump as former president,” he concluded.
Leif-Eric Isle, a professor at Seoul’s Hawa University, believes the meeting between Trump and Kim will be “great television,” but that’s about it. “There is a zero chance of a trial-balloon deal with Kim the way he did with former President Carter in 1994,” he said, but added that “if there is a slight gain in work, Kim’s interest increases.” Level talks with the Biden administration or re-engagement with South Korean President Moon Jae-in. ”
“Kim and Trump may end up with the mutual intention of harming the Biden administration and its foreign policy.”
For all the uncertainty, Trump will visit Pyongyang, “probably within a few months of Biden taking office,” said Ha Tai-keng, a member of South Korea’s National Assembly, but warned that Kim was “very afraid of COVID.” -19 “and will worry about getting rid of the error from Trump, who came up with a mild case in October. Hai predicted that Trump and Kim would exchange first letters, as they had all three of their meetings before and after the failed summit in Hanoi in February last year. Were together and their last salute on the north-south line in Panmunjom four months later.The Korean War was signed in 1953.
Trump will no doubt have to point out that one of the main reasons for Trump’s visit to Pyongyang is that he, not Biden, could reduce relations between North Korea and the US and between North and South Korea. Hai said, “Biden has ignored Kim Jong Un,” while Kim ignored the news of Biden’s election, who was once called “a tough dog” in the North Korean campaign.
Hae said, “They have not yet made up their minds about the position to take on Biden, but Trump may be counting on a wild card.
“Former US presidents have a history of visiting North Korea,” said Cho Tae-yong, chairman of the International Committee of the Conservative People’s Power Party. “When Biden is in office fees, anything is possible.”
Perhaps reluctant to upset Trump given his new strategy for Biden, Kim congratulated Biden on not leading North Korea’s only real ally, Chinese President Xi Jinping. He has also called for a blackout on Biden’s election news in the North Korean media.
In addition to inviting Trump to Pyongyang, Kim could try to get Biden’s attention by giving short-range ballistic missile tests, as he has done many times during Trump’s presidency.
After ordering North Korea’s sixth, most recent nuclear test in September 2017, Kim is not expected to seek a second nuclear test any time soon, but despite a joint statement, the U.S. He and Trump signed an assurance in Singapore of efforts to achieve a “nuclear-free Korean Peninsula”, showing no signs of abandoning their nuclear program. Intelligence analysts believe North Korea has a collection of 40-60 warheads and is still producing them.
Kim, who is a U.S. citizen. And demanded the lifting of UN sanctions, while the U.S. was allowed to operate through a pipe system below the Youth River border. China is mired in increasing oil tensions, but it relies on full support with China, but trades with China. There has been a sharp decline when Kim tightens border controls imposed by the execution of at least two officers.
If Trump made history as the first American president to meet any of the three members of the Kim dynasty who ruled North Korea after the end of Japanese rule in 1945, some analysts believe the time may have passed to move the relationship forward.
Strobe, a former diplomat who visited Clinton during her visit to Pyongyang in 2009, “did not put the past of Trump visiting North Korea and meeting the KJU as a media stunt to troll Bijan” but also suspected that With a real money business – unless the North Koreans pay to allow him to put his name on the building. “
Considering North Koreans like Trump, Strobe said this is unlikely, “not to pay others but to give money to others.” Trump now recognizes that dealing with North Korea is a very risky / low-profit proposal. “There is no reason to believe that a private citizen would see Trump doing business with Kim Jong Un in his interests, economically or politically,” he added.
At Fletcher School, Lee Sung-yun takes a slightly different approach. “Optics will favor Trump instead of Biden,” Lee said. “Trump will come as a true American politician, no matter how hollow or misguided in any deal with Kim Jong Un or his first sister.”