What the wispy plateau of the Arizona coronavirus could teach us


Geography can also play a role. About 5.5 million of the seven million Arizona residents, about three in four people, live in Maricopa County, which includes Phoenix, and Pima County, which includes Tucson. Both issued orders requiring face masks just over a month ago, in mid-June.

The Navajo Nation, affected by severe outbreaks in March and April, has also vigorously introduced measures such as mask mandates, checkpoints, and curfews. The reserve, which spans parts of Arizona, New Mexico, and Utah, has reported fewer than 50 new cases per day in the past week, compared to more than 170 per day a few weeks ago.

With prevention efforts on the rise, the vast majority of Arizonans have been living with masks and more closures mandates for about a month, about the time experts say it takes to begin to see the effect of the new policies.

By contrast, many of Florida’s 21 million residents are spread across large and medium-sized cities, with overlapping city and county governments. With mask orders in many of the largest counties, and a statewide bar limit since late June, the state has shown some small decreases in new cases in recent days for an average of 10,000 cases per day, in compared to 11,800 last week. .

In Texas, whose 29 million residents are spread across 254 counties, Governor Greg Abbott closed bars in late June and issued a state-wide mask requirement about three weeks ago. The state now averages more than 9,000 cases per day, compared to more than 10,000 a few days ago. In Houston, officials are seeing reason for hope amid a slight drop in hospitalizations, even as the virus has overwhelmed hospitals in other parts of Texas, including the border region known as the Rio Grande Valley.

“We are cautiously optimistic that we are seeing a leveling off,” said Catherine Troisi, an infectious disease epidemiologist at the UTHealth School of Public Health in Houston, who said the combination of measures seemed to be working.