Vladimir Putin: How Kovid-19 and 2020 derailed the best plans of the Russian president


Observers were quick to read the fine print: constitutional compliance would rearrange the clock to the limit of the president’s term, possibly extending Putin’s dominance over power until 2036. A referendum was scheduled for April, and Putin seemed likely to be on the coast for the presidency. .

What followed was an annuity for Russia and perhaps Putin’s most challenging year so far.

As the Covid-19 began to spread around the world, Russia soon appeared on the front foot. The country sealed its border with China, and thanked Putin as the first step in stopping the spread of the disease, saying the virus was “under control.”

But that approach was a bit more than a blaster and a spin. Shortly after the government announced a nationwide lockdown on March 28, it became clear that the country was in the grip of a major public health crisis.

In April, the death rate in Moscow was about 20% higher than the 10-year average, while capital officials indirectly admitted that they were counting Kovid-19 deaths.

The government was forced to postpone a referendum on constitutional changes.

Putin says Russia could

Doubts grew about how well the Kremlin was handling the epidemic and comparing it to the Russian people about the severity of the crisis.

Such suspicions escalated to the point that Russian doctors and medical staff turned to social media for funding hospitals and they said the death toll was higher than officially acknowledged. Reports from frontline healthcare workers falling from windows and fires from a Russian-made faulty ventilator further eroded public confidence.

Russia’s economic situation was also dire. Oil, a key export, led to a recession caused by the coronavirus, with global oil prices falling.

By the middle of the year, the World Bank expects Russia’s 2020 GDP growth to slow to 6%, an 11-year low, with rising unemployment and poverty levels.

Such deep economic tensions have threatened to derail the United Russia Party’s political program, which has been plagued by decades of weakness in the social compact that has kept Putin in power for two decades.

Reports of a ventilator that caught fire in the intensive care unit of St. George's Hospital in St. Petersburg in May raised suspicions about how the Kremlin was handling the epidemic.

Putin’s political sustainability has always been due to the general deal between him and his citizens: accept limited political competition in exchange for stability and a steady increase in living standards. But in the midst of an epidemic, the deal has begun to unravel.

In July, protests erupted in the far eastern city of Khabarovsk, where thousands of people took to the streets in a highly unusual street protest in support of the region’s governor, Sergei Furgel, who was arrested and charged with the murder of two businessmen in 2004 and 2005. Denied involvement in the killings. His supporters saw the case as politically motivated action against United Russia’s regional adversary.
Perhaps equally worrying for the Kremlin, street protests erupted in neighboring Belarus in August, with then-President Alexander Lukashenko, often described as Europe’s last dictator, claiming that election observers opposed the victory with widespread fraud.

Lukashenko, who has ruled since 1994, refused to step aside and his security forces brutalized and detained thousands of Belarusians, leaving the Kremlin facing an uneasy view of citizens of neighboring and close allied countries, including Russian-style shamrocks. Was refusing to play. .

The Kremlin managed to hold a nationwide referendum, in which, with the help of a nationwide get-out-of-the-vote campaign, state holidays and the mobilization of the country’s vast state territory, constitutional changes were secured, in large part. Workforce.

But Putin’s managed democratic system faced a new moment of crisis in the post-August August period, when opposition leader Alexei Navalny was critically upset on a flight from the Siberian city of Tomsk to Moscow.

Navalny led a campaign called “Smart Voting” – an attempt to get candidates to vote in local elections with the best chance of defeating United Russia’s candidates.

The CNN-Bellingcat investigation identifies Russian experts who pulled Putin's nemesis Alexei Navalny behind him before he drank the poison.

The Kremlin critic was eventually brought to Berlin for treatment, with Russian doctors initially insisting the opposition leader was too seriously ill to travel.

The German government later revealed that tests showed that he had been poisoned with a chemical nerve agent from the Novichok group.

The Kremlin has denied any involvement in the plot, and Russian state television has used a number of conspiracy theories to justify the assassination attempt.

But the Russian government has sharply criticized international leaders, including German Chancellor Angela Merkel: “There are now many serious questions that only the Russian government can and should answer.”

In mid-December, a CNN-Bellingtat investigation found evidence that Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) had been forming a select team of experts in nerve agents, keeping Navalny behind for years.
During his marathon annual press conference, Putin’s comments on the novel’s reports were as arrogant as he denied. “Who needs it? If [Russian agents] Wanted, they probably would have finished it, “Putin said.

Navalny’s poison, effectively, shattered much of the goodwill that Russia had demanded internationally amid the epidemic.

In early April, the Russian government sent ventilators and protective devices to New York to help hospitals on the front lines of the emergency.
It was symbolism on the object: the ventilator was the same model that set fire to Russian hospitals, and the U.S. The Federal Emergency Management Agency said it was never used.

The Russian government has also weighed in on efforts to develop a coronavirus vaccine, a project of national repute.

In August Gust, Putin announced in a very threatening manner that Russia’s locally developed vaccine – called Sputnik V, a Cold War space race-inspired name – had been approved for public use, although it had not passed Phase 3 tests. That rush to draw international skepticism, such as the Kremlin’s subsequent acknowledgment that Putin himself would not win.
This is not surprising: information about Putin’s health is a closely guarded secret, and the presidential administration has taken extraordinary measures to protect the head of state from the coronavirus, including the installation of special “disinfection tunnels” for visitors to residences outside Moscow. In the Kremlin.

The outbreak of war between Armenia and Azerbaijan on the Nagorno-Karabakh region further examined the Russian government’s crisis-management skills in 2020.

When the short but intense bloody battle ended with the deployment of Russian peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh, the armistice deal also signaled Turkey’s territorial turmoil. Russia is no longer the only indispensable power in post-Soviet space.

Putin, Bolsonaro and AMLO finally congratulate Biden on US election victory

Kremlin science is an inaccurate science, but as 2020 approaches, one wonders whether Putin is reconsidering his clear plans to remain president until 2036.

Finally, Russian lawmakers devised a possible escape plan for the Kremlin leader, allowing legislation that would give former presidents lifelong immunity from criminal prosecution.

Either way, the bill implies an imminent departure from the Russian presidency – after all, Putin is a man who prefers to keep his options open.

But for some observers, the bill is reminiscent of former Russian President Boris Yeltsin’s surprise handover of power to then-Prime Minister Putin on New Year’s Eve, 1999. One of Putin’s first acts as president was to sign a degree in immunity.

After the end of this aggressive and difficult year, Putin is likely to see Russia-observers eager for a new New Year’s surprise.

.