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The scene of the murder of scientist Fakhrizadeh on November 27. Small photo: Mr. Fakhrizadeh – Photo: Reuters
With Joe Biden moving ever closer to the White House, many hope that his foreign policy will be helpful to international reconciliation efforts, including returning the United States to its commitments in the Action Plan. JCPOA – Iran nuclear deal.
However, the news that Mr. Fakhrizadeh was assassinated on November 27 is causing the situation worse.
Time sensitive
In the eyes of Western intelligence, Fakhrizadeh is the leading scientist in the Iranian nuclear field, including the man behind the country’s secret nuclear weapons program.
The focus is therefore on Israel, Iran’s rival country in the Middle East, and for about a decade it has also been accused of being behind the killings of Iranian scientists.
In fact, Iran’s leadership has blamed Israel for Fakhrizadeh’s death.
Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif wrote on Twitter: “Terrorism today killed a prominent Iranian scientist. This despicable act contains serious signs of Israel’s role, showing its desperate bloodlust. Villains.”
Meanwhile, Reuters said Iran’s ambassador to the United Nations, Majid Takht Ravanchi, also sent a letter to the UN Secretary General and the UN Security Council, Antonio Guterres, denouncing “serious signs of Israel’s role” in this. case.
Until November 28, Israel still refused to comment on the incident, but now the rumors are directed at this country because many details are against Israel.
For example, at a conference on Iran’s nuclear program in April 2018, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu specifically mentioned the name “Fakhrizadeh”, while he was seen as a secret scientist, he hardly ever came up and mentioned much.
Before Fakhrizadeh was assassinated, it was reported that the Israeli military “was preparing for the possibility of US President Donald Trump attacking Iran.”
Speculation has risen before Trump could attack Iran in the remaining 50 days before he could leave the White House due to the loss to Biden in the 2020 election.
The Duc DW newspaper also quoted a researcher from the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft Center as saying that if Iran were to retaliate this time, this would be a “win-win situation” for Israel because Prime Minister Netanyahu has long been waiting for an excuse. to fight Iran.
Murder, mysterious disappearances in Iran – General :: HDL – Graphics: Tuan ANh
Bad news for the nuclear deal
Fakhrizadeh’s assassination took place in a delicate period and left countries almost confused, having failed to make an official statement on the matter within 48 hours after Iranian state media released the information.
Former director of the United States Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) John Brennan warned on Twitter that the Fakhrizadeh case could create a big problem for the Middle East, as this act of “crime and high recklessness” is at risk. . to retaliate deadly.
Meanwhile, Ellie Geranmayeh of the Council on European International Relations said that “the aim of the assassination was not to hamper Iran’s nuclear program, but to attack diplomatic activities.”
Geranmayeh also said the incident is likely to complicate the diplomatic efforts of the president-elect for Biden.
Many people hope that Biden, with a policy of multilateral emphasis, will “save” the Iran nuclear deal, especially when this is the result of the administration of former President Barack Obama: the “tightening” of Biden.
But this assassination will make the Iranian leader hot and difficult to negotiate, unless the United States has to make a significant concession. Currently, Iran has not inherently retaliated after US airstrikes killed General Qassem Soleimani of Iran in Baghdad last year.
Also, today, among Iranian leaders, there are many people who inherently did not like the previous nuclear deal, for example, the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. This is when Bishop Ali Khamenei has the most reason not to engage with the Americans.
Additionally, CNBC quoted the analyst as saying that the Iranian government has reason not to believe that Mr. Biden cannot be a guarantor of Iran’s nuclear process due to fears that Trump or a similar figure may Trump in 2024.
Amir Handjani, a researcher at the Quincy Institute, analyzed Tehran’s opinion: “Whatever they do with Joe Biden, the next president can come and reverse, so how They are engaged? “.
