[ad_1]
If a surprise happens in Arizona, Trump can stand up and win 11 electoral votes here. With this scenario, Trump will have 225 votes, Biden will have 253 votes.
The remaining 4 states do not have final results, including Pennsylvania (20 votes), North Carolina (15 votes), Georgia (16 votes), Nevada (6 votes), and Alaska (3 votes).
According to the latest figures, Trump is ahead in Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Alaska. Of these, Alaska almost certainly belongs to President Trump because of the large gap. Mr. Biden is taking the lead in Nevada.
More recently, the wind has reversed in Georgia. After a 3-day lead, Trump was overtaken by Biden and currently has 917 votes. Their percentages in Georgia are calculated in the same way, at 49.4%. In the event that Mr. Biden continues to win in Georgia, he can win 16 votes in this state.
|
2020 U.S. election: President Trump outmatched his opponents on the Georgia state battlefield |
With the above analysis, the race becomes more and more attractive. If nothing changes, Mr. Biden can finish first in many ways: guaranteed to keep the votes in Arizona, he only needs to win 1 in 4 states of Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia or Nevada; he did not win in Arizona but won at least 2 of the 4 remaining states.
Meanwhile, Trump will win the final if he wins all or 1 of the 2 combinations (Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, Alaska) and (Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Alaska).
However, there will be a scenario that cannot be ruled out: two candidates who do not get 270 votes and meet 269-269. This scenario will happen when Biden loses Arizona, wins only Georgia and Trump wins votes in Arizona and the rest of the states.
If this scenario occurs, the House of Representatives will be the decision-making body, generally by voting. In the history of the United States, the two scenarios mentioned above include: (1) being declared the winner by the media but when the results of the final vote count are shown in reverse; (2) two candidates with a tie, both have run. Here is the end result:
(1) Irresistible victory or defeat
In 1800, the fourth American presidential election was held with two candidates, Thomas Jefferson and Aaron Burr. The election was tied when both received 73 electoral votes.
Under the provisions of the United States Constitution, in this situation, the House of Representatives is the body that determines who will act as president. In the presidential election of the House of Representatives, each group of members of a state has only one vote. At that time, the United States had 16 states or 16 votes. If someone gets more than 8 votes, they win the election.
However, things are not easy. When lawmakers voted in December 2,1801, the Jefferson and Burr candidates failed to get more than eight votes. The House of Representatives had to vote 35 times a week, but candidate Jefferson always got only 8 votes. It wasn’t until the 36th ballot that Jefferson won 10 votes and became president. Mr. Burr became vice president.
(2) Wind changes
The presidential election between the Republican George W. Bush and the Democrat Al Gore (then the current Vice President of the United States, Al Gore). The final result depends entirely on 25 electoral votes in the state of Florida.
After the polls closed in Florida, the American television networks simultaneously declared that the Democratic candidate Gore won easily in this state. But things are not so easy. In the process of counting the votes into the evening, the new television networks realized they were “wrong” when Bush’s vote increased rapidly. The next morning, Bush was ahead of his opponent by a few thousand votes.
The Democratic candidate’s campaign asked officials in four of Florida’s largest counties to manually verify the votes, following a weekly process. Three weeks after Election Day, the state of Florida announced that Bush beat Mr. Gore by 537 votes, or just 0.009%. Mr. Gore continued to protest and the highest court in Florida had to intervene, ordering a recount of thousands of votes removed by the counter due to incomplete drilling.
The last noisy election was taken by the Federal Supreme Court, which announced the cessation of vote counting on December 12, 2000, exactly six days before the electoral assembly. The Supreme Court held that the Constitution was violated by different counting standards in different counties.
Following the Supreme Court order, Republican lawmakers in Florida moved on to the election of the electoral college that supports Bush. With that, Mr. Gore declared his defeat and said that he did not want the country to be further divided by partisan struggle. Bush followed in his father’s footsteps to become president of the United States.
[ad_2]
