US Elections: The “get it all go to zero” race | World



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With only a few days left until the official elections are held and the whole world is anxiously awaiting who will lead the United States in the next 4 years. Except for those who vote early or by mail, voters across the United States will go to the polling place to vote on March 3.

In fact, voters cannot directly elect the president, but the electorate. It doesn’t matter who wins the most popular votes, but which state wins, relative to the number of electoral votes.

Indirect choice

From the earliest days, American lawmakers have chosen the presidential form of election through the election of the electoral college rather than the entire population. With a large area and limited communication, each US state elects a representative to vote for the leader of the country, they are the electoral college. Depending on the size of the population, each state will be assigned a certain number of electoral votes.

Specifically, the number of voters in each state is equal to the total number of seats in that state in the Senate and the House of Representatives, in which each state has 2 seats in the Senate. The least populated state has 3 electors (equivalent to 2 seats in the Senate and 1 seat in the House of Representatives), the most populous state today is California with 55 voters. The ratio of voters to population is uneven across states. A total of 538 voters were elected from 50 states and the District of Columbia (where Washington DC is located).

Typically, 48 of the 50 US states and the District of Columbia conduct the election on the principle of “winner takes all” (winner takes all). This means that all electoral votes go to the winner of the popular vote for that state, even if the victories are as narrow as 50.1% and 49.9%. Maine and Nebraska are two different states when it comes to distributing electoral votes in proportion to electoral districts.

Almost all voters will vote for the presidential candidate they have pledged to support in their state. However, in theory, the opposite is still possible. The constitution and federal law do not have any requirements, but states have provisions related to electoral voting, including compulsory voting. This system of indirect elections leads a candidate to receive more popular votes at the national level, but he is not sure if he will become president.

Most recently, in 2016, when Democrat Hillary Clinton outnumbered Republican Donald Trump by nearly 3 million popular votes, the winner was Trump.

US elections: the 'get it all, go back to zero' race - photo 1

Former Vice President Joe Biden speaks at the election campaign in St. Paul, Minnesota, on October 30.

The strategy won 270 votes

To become president, candidates must obtain at least 270 electoral votes, which is oversold of a total of 538 voters nationwide. The reality of American politics shows that many states can be completely on the side of the Democrats or Republicans for a long time, which has results even without voting. Candidates can be sure of winning and counting their “hard” electoral votes. Your mission is how to win uncertain votes for a total of at least 270 votes.

To win this race, the candidate and the party they represent must have a clear strategy. That is why the election campaign is focused on certain states, not the 50 states of the United States, and choosing which state to invest money and effort in is also a brainstorming decision.

In the 2016 elections, four states that Trump won with a difference of less than 2%: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Florida. All of these states gave votes to Democrats in the 2012 elections, in which Pennsylvania and Michigan had a tradition of less than 20 years without voting for Republican candidates.

Many analysts evaluated Hillary Clinton’s failure in 2016 as likely due to the wrong selection of strategy. Specifically, Hillary tried harder in Ohio, Florida and North Carolina, while paying less attention to Michigan and Wisconsin, two states where she is supposed to keep the “green wall” (green is the color of the Citizen Party). owner – NV), according to the sheet The Atlantic. In the end, both walls, along with Pennsylvania, voted for Trump.




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