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There have been many personnel changes in the XII Central Committee since the closing of the XII Congress of the VCP until the end of the current legislature.
The 14th Central Conference of the 12th session of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam closed on December 18 in Hanoi, but the results on staff progress have not been clear or public to the people and officials. The ministry told the BBC an opinion from current observers and Vietnamese politicians shortly after the session ended.
The list and information related to personnel close to the congress were available, but the party did not yet want to release it to the public, officials and individuals, although some information was informally discussed outside the association. The proposal may have some reflections that seem to be true about the situation at the conference, another opinion from Hanoi in political analysts told Vietnamese BBC News on the same occasion.
First, from the Ministry of Planning and Investment, Associate Professor Pham Quy Tho, former chair of the Faculty of Public Policy at the Institute for Policy and Development, told the BBC just after the 14th Conference ended.
“The first thing that can be said is that questions have been raised and heard in public opinion why the leadership of the party and the state, the Central Committee, cannot make the information public. HR is discussed, presented, even voted, etc … and options after this conference, as well as throughout the process.
“The Party still says that the party is open, transparent and democratic, the party is the leading force of a state of the people, by the people and for the people, and the party perceives that it belongs to the people and outside and for the people. Why do you hesitate to inform people about the staff position, choose this staff at every step in a transparent and open way? Or is the party afraid that people know, people argue, people participate “do” and people watch?
“Answering these questions that I think is not unreasonable on the part of the public, I can say that the party still seems to follow the old tradition that still keeps many secrets for the masses, the people. and even officials.
“I believe that here, the party must have the courage to innovate many aspects of its party and leadership work, including changes such as democratization and transparency, which in my opinion. Only by helping to make the match more profitable because it will gain more public trust, instead of continuing as before.
“I have investigated the drafts of the party documents that are being prepared for this XIII Congress and I see that certain changes have also been made, such as the opinion presented in the drafts that shows a yes. Capitalism may have changed.
“I go through the documents and I don’t see any comment or criticism of capitalism as it was in the old days of the war and the cold war, but people don’t mention the economy.” market, etc.
“There are signs of a certain change, and I understand that change, reform may sometimes have to go step by step, but in terms of openness and transparency as public opinion stated at this conference. And even before that, I think the party should think about it and do it soon.
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The three people in the current Three Pillars of the party and state leaders, the Government and the National Assembly of Vietnam can be considered “special cases” theoretically, according to observers.
“A second point I would like to make is that the announcement of the Conference party was widely reported in the media, stating that the Central Committee has” strongly agreed “on this issue of senior staff, which is related to the Dung presents candidates for the next XIII Congress to elect the Politburo and the Secretariat.
“I also saw the headlines that said there would be 15 conferences and there would be more announcements at that conference, so I raised a high consensus and consensus issue at the 14th, so why? The 15th plenary is still missing, or here is only one High consensus and unanimity on certain content, is it possible that important content or some key decisions are not? Or are we still waiting? And I repeat that because the party has not made it public, people and genders, including observers and analysts, they can hardly have information to know, not to speak, follow, think, etc. “Associate Professor Pham Quy Tho told the BBC from his own point of view.
Also on this occasion, from Hanoi, Dr. Ha Hoang Hop, a Vietnamese researcher and political analyst, commented to the BBC:
“People have lists and specific information at the conference, but people do not want to say it publicly, in fact, there are people who can talk about it. That information, but it would be difficult to say that, because people can be asked and consulted for track where the information comes from, as some new checklists appear. that is supposed to be “true” or “correct” …
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The Secretary General and President of State, Nguyen Phu Trong, born in 1944, is currently the oldest person still present and works in the top leadership of the party and the state of Vietnam.
However, based on what observers know and research, there are also many plans and scenarios about senior staff, especially for the four pillars, but the hardest thing is still to predict for the Secretary General. …
“Everyone also knows that Mr. Nguyen Phu Trong is very supportive of Mr. Tran Quoc Vuong, Permanent Secretary of the Secretariat, as Secretary General, it is a possibility,
However, there are also proposals that say that in addition to Vuong, it is possible to nominate Mr. Nguyen Xuan Phuc as general secretary.
“In the office of President of the State, in the case of those who are too old, like Mr. Truong Hoa Binh, they can stand for election, if it is agreed to allow it in special cases.
“What about the positions of Prime Minister and President of the National Assembly? Regarding the position of Prime Minister, for example, if Mr. Tran Quoc Vuong has been appointed Secretary General, there is a possibility that people propose to be Mr. Nguyen “. Xuan Phuc will be a special reelection case for the next Politburo to be Prime Minister, which is a great possibility.
“I don’t see another great possibility for the prime minister and that personally, from my point of view, I don’t see.”
“It has been for a long time that it is possible that Ms. Truong Thi Mai will become the speaker of the National Assembly, but there is also information, there are also people who predict and say that it is possible that Ms. Nguyen Thi Kim herself Ngan It can also be included in the so-called special cases list, where those over 65 will remain in the Politburo and will continue to be the president of the National Assembly. “
When asked if the case becomes a special case, Mr. Nguyen Phu Trong can be re-elected again as Secretary General, or what position and, if so, how long will he stay (One year or half term) or full term , if not full term, how can he be replaced, by whom? Dr. Ha Hoang Hop replied:
“This question interests me here, now the most important thing in Vietnam is that the whole country should pay attention to economic construction and preserve and protect the sovereignty of the country.
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The army plays an important dual role both in defending the country and the VCP, according to observers
“Therefore, the role of the armed forces, especially the military, is of utmost importance, while defending the country and the Communist Party of Vietnam, so if in the case of Mr. Nguyễn Phú Trọng, although He has done two courses, and he has nominated for more stay, that is, in a special case, if that happens, maybe you will remain Secretary General, but it will not take long, but maybe yes. for a short period of time, then he will transfer it to another person.
“Why? In my opinion, due to health problems and secondly because the secretary general has a very important position, in addition to the top leadership of the party, he is the secretary general who is also Secretary of the Central Military Commission.
“But the secretary of the Central Military Commission is very difficult to hand over someone to replace Mr. Trong as general secretary in the thirteenth term, but perhaps people will suggest that he stay for a certain time.” It may be a year, because when the conditions are conducive to the transfer, he will hand over the position of Secretary General to whom the new Central Committee of the party considers qualified and qualified. prestige to be the Secretary General of class 13. Well, in my opinion it is a great possibility, not to exclude …
“By the way, I added that I feel that if Mr. Ngo Xuan Lich, the Minister of National Defense, is really healthy, he can still stay for another post, not the ministerial post, that’s the opinion. My staff like that.
“From the position of Secretary of Defense in the current situation, in addition to the role of political leader in the army, another standard called the so-called operational command is also required. Perhaps if Mr. Lich stayed, he could have another more important position, as president or whatever, instead of staying for another course as defense minister.
“That is in case it is strong and credible enough, but this is just an assumption and we will probably have to wait until after the 15th of Congress, and then definitely until the close of the 13th Congress to get information.” more clearly on the entire leadership team of the Communist Party of Vietnam in the coming period, “the visiting principal investigator of the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies (Iseas-Singapore) commented to BBC News Vietnamese from a personal point of view.
