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Forecast of the direction of the tropical depression – Photo: National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasts
At 1:00 am this morning, October 15, the location of the tropical depression is about 14 degrees north latitude; 121.5 degrees east longitude, just above the central Philippines region. The strongest wind in the area near the center of strong tropical low pressure level 6 (40-50 km / hour), level 8.
It is forecast that in the next 24 hours, the tropical depression will move in the northwest, every hour about 20 km, it will enter the East Sea and it is likely to be stronger.
At 1:00 am on October 16, the center of the tropical low pressure is at about 14.5 degrees north latitude; 117 degrees East Kinh, about 440 km from West Song Tu Island to the northeast. The strongest wind in the area near the center of strong tropical low pressure level 7 (50-60 km / h), level 9.
The danger zone caused by the tropical depression in the East Sea in the next 24 hours (strong winds of level 6 or higher, shaking from level 8 or higher) is 13 to 16.5 degrees north latitude; East longitude 115 degrees east longitude. All vessels operating in the danger zone are at high risk of being affected by strong winds.
Over the next 24 to 48 hours, the tropical depression is moving in a northwesterly direction, at about 20 km per hour and is likely to become a storm.
As of 1:00 a.m. on October 17, the location of the center of the storm was at about 14.8 degrees north latitude; 112.1 degrees east longitude, about 250 km south of the Hoang Sa archipelago. The strongest wind in the area near the center of strong storms is level 8 (60-75 km / hour), level 10.
For the next 48 to 72 hours, the typhoon moved westward, traveling at about 20 kilometers per hour.
Large-scale rains in the north and central north
Due to the influence of the circulation of Typhoon No. 7, after weakening in low pressure areas, in the coastal areas and the North Delta, Hoa Binh, Nam Son La, Yen Bai, Phu Tho, Vinh Huc, there were very heavy rains. powerful. Big with 1h rains on 14-10 to 1h on Oct 15, popular 100-200mm, some bigger places like: Ta Xi Lang (Yen Bai) 275mm, Can Thuong Lake (Hoa Binh) 233mm, Lang Nhi (Yen worship) 224mm …
Due to the influence of cold air in combination with the highly active southeast wind, from now until tomorrow morning (Oct 16), forecasts are for the north and northeast delta, Hoa Binh and South Son La, Phu Tho, Vinh Phuc, Yen Bai, Thanh Hoa, Nghe An have heavy to very heavy rains with a total rainfall of about 100-200mm, in some places more than 250mm; The popularity in Ha Tinh and other parts of the north is about 40-70mm.
Warning of storms, strong winds and big waves at sea
Currently in the Gulf of Tonkin, the western sea area of the Northeast Sea (including the waters of the Paracel Archipelago), the area between and the Southeast Sea (including the waters of the Spratly Islands), Quang Binh to Ca Mau, Ca Mau to Kien Giang and the Gulf of Thailand have heavy rains and thunderstorms.
Due to the influence of cold air combined with the tropical convergence of about 12-15 degrees north latitude, the connection to the tropical depression in the central Philippines is moving towards the East Sea with the southwest monsoon. Strong impacts should be forecast in the Gulf of Tonkin, the southern maritime zone of the Northeast Sea (including the waters of the Hoang Sa archipelago), the offshore waters of the provinces from Quang Tri to Ca Mau, the area between the Sea the South and the South Sea. To the east (including the waters of the Spratly Islands), the waters from Ca Mau to Kien Giang and the Gulf of Thailand have strong electrical storms. During a storm, there is the possibility of tornadoes and strong winds.
In the eastern sea zone in the middle of the eastern sea, the winds gradually increased to level 6, then increased to level 7 and level 9; strong seas. The waters of the provinces from Binh Thuan to Ca Mau, the Southeast Sea region (including the waters of the Truong Sa archipelago) have strong southwesterly winds of level 5, sometimes level 6, level 7-8; Sea waves 2-4 m high, rough seas.
In addition, due to the influence of cold air in the Northeast Sea, there is a strong northeast wind of level 6, after rising to level 7, shock level 9; strong seas; Sea waves 3-5 m high. In the Gulf of Tonkin, the east-northeast winds gradually increase to level 5, then increase to level 6 and level 7; rough seas; Sea waves 2-3 m high.
