There are many scenarios about the direction of Hurricane 13

Regarding storm No. 13, Mr. Mai Van Khiem, Director of the National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasts, said: There are currently many fairly strong dispersion forecast scenarios for the path and intensity of the storms. 13.

“Currently, Vietnamese and international forecasts are forecasting the intensity and direction of Typhoon No. 13” high inconsistent “. Because the storm is still far from the mainland, there are many scenarios about the storm area. Direct enjoyment “said Mr. Khiem.

According to Mr. Khiem, the most likely scenario is that Typhoon No. 13 will head towards the North Northwest, as the coastal zone of our country approaches it will weaken and will go towards the North Central Coast.

“The time of the storms that affected the continent since November 14; the strongest winds at sea are level 12-13, when it approaches the coast it decreases rapidly but can still cause strong winds of 9-10 for Ly Son and Con Co island districts From November 14 to November 16, the northern and central central region rains a lot, with precipitation of 100 to 150 mm, in some places more than 200 mm, ”said Mr. Khiem.

According to the National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasting, at 4:00 pm this afternoon (November 12), the center of the storm was at about 15.4 degrees north latitude; 117.9 degrees east longitude, about 640 km from the Paracel Islands to the southeast. The strongest wind near the center of strong storms is Level 12 (115-135 km / h), Level 15. The radius of strong winds from Level 6, shaken from Level 8 or more is about 250 km from the center of the storm; Strong wind radius from level 10, pull level 12 or more to about 120 km from the center of the storm.

It is forecast that in the next 24 hours, the storm will move westward, every hour is 15-20km. At 4:00 pm on November 13, the storm’s position was at about 15.3 degrees north latitude; 113.8 degrees east longitude, about 230 km from the Paracel Islands to the southeast. The strongest wind near the center of strong storms is level 12 (115-135 km / h), level 15.

Due to the influence of typhoons, the storms occurred in the East Sea in the North and between the East Sea with strong winds of 8-10, near the center of storms level 11-12, level 15; sea ​​waves 4 to 6 m high, the area near the center of the storm 8 to 10 m; fierce rough seas.

East Sea Storm Hazard Zone in Next 24 Hours (Strong Winds from Level 6 or Higher, Shake Level 8 or Higher): 13.0 to 18.0 N latitude; from longitude 111.5 to 120.0 degrees east longitude. All vessels operating in the danger zone are at high risk of being hit by strong winds.

During the next 24 to 48 hours, the typhoon is moving mainly in a northwesterly direction, traveling between 15 and 20 km per hour. At 4:00 pm on November 14, the storm’s position was at about 16.2 degrees north latitude; 109.9 degrees east longitude, in coastal waters from Quang Binh to Quang Nam provinces. The strongest wind in the area near the center of heavy storms is level 11 (100-115 km / hour), level 14.

For the next 48 to 72 hours, the typhoon moved in a northwesterly direction, every hour about 15 km, headed inland from Ha Tinh to Thua Thien Hue and gradually weakened into a tropical depression.

At 4:00 pm on November 15, the location of the center of the tropical depression is about 17.5 degrees north latitude; 106.0 degrees east longitude. The strongest wind in the area near the center of strong tropical low pressure level 6 (40-50 km / hour), level 8.

For the next 72 to 96 hours, the tropical depression moves in a northwesterly direction, traveling 15 to 20 km every hour.

Warning of the level of risk of natural disasters caused by storms: level 3.

Nguyen duong