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Monday, November 30, 2020 21:15 PM (GMT + 7)
As the 2020 presidential campaign entered a “cool down” phase, Trump conducted several election campaigns across the country to encourage his supporters to vote. Many see these epic campaigns as a sign of strong support for Trump, but the numbers don’t show it.
Data from NBC News showed that Trump had less convincing results in 25 counties of the battlefield states despite his massive campaign efforts. Photo: NBC News
NBC News reported on November 29 that when comparing Trump’s campaign stops in the last two weeks of the race, it’s easy to see that Trump has performed worse than in 2016 in In some counties he organized large-scale promotional activities. .
According to NBC News, Trump had 30 stops to organize the campaign during the last two weeks, in the states of Arizona, Nebraska and Pennsylvania. In five counties that Trump visited this year, the results are better than in 2016. But in the remaining 25 counties, Trump’s win rate gradually decreased, the failure rate increased. Some counties even voted for Biden again.
These numbers are worth noting, as they raise questions about how reporters and analysts perceive the campaigns.
Crowd size is often seen as a way to judge support for a politician, but that is not always the case, especially in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic when measures are widely spaced. is applicable. There could still be a larger crowd that did not show up for the election campaign.
A look at several key states that have been the scene of epic campaigns shows that Trump is not doing well in them.
In Michigan, Trump ran five campaigns in the last two weeks of the campaign and in each district he was more distant from his opponents than the 2016 results. Here are details.
Compare the results of Mr. Trump in the counties of the state of Michigan in the two elections of 2016 and 2020. Photo: NBC News
On October 27, Trump ran an election campaign in Ingham County. Trump failed in this county when he was 32 points behind Biden. This result is 5.5 percentage points higher than the 2016 result.
On October 30, Trump ran a campaign in Oakland County. The current president of the United States lost in the county with 14 percentage points, 6 percentage points more than in 2016.
On November 2, Trump held an event in Grand Traverse County. The head of the White House won the state with 3 percentage points, 9 percentage points less than in 2016.
Compare Trump’s results in Pennsylvania counties in the 2016 and 2020 elections. Photo: NBC News
The same thing happened in Pennsylvania. Mr. Trump ran 7 spectacular campaigns here in the last 2 campaign weeks. For every county Trump visits, the results are worse than in 2016.
Trump visited Erie County on October 20 and the county eventually switched to Biden with a 1 point difference. In 2016, Erie County supported Trump.
The current president of the United States visited Lancaster County on October 26 and won there with 16% points, but this achievement is still 3 percentage points behind the 2016 result.
On November 2, Trump campaigned in Scranton City, Lackawanna County, but when the number of votes was counted, Trump lost the county by an 8 percentage point difference. This is 5 percentage points more than the 2016 failure in Lackawanna County.
There are some bright spots in the Trump campaign in Florida. However, this is just an exception.
There are some positives for Trump in Florida. Photo: Brig News
According to NBC News, the campaign can help Trump, even when the current US president does poorly. Because they can prevent Trump from performing worse than current results.
But the losses in the counties where they actively campaign are clearly hurting Trump. And if the purpose of the entire election campaign is to inspire and encourage voters to vote, the actual data shows that they “provoke” opposition to the president.
Source: http: //danviet.vn/ket-qua-bat-ngo-o-nhung-noi-ong-trump-to-chuc-van-dong-tranh-cu-hoanh-trang-50 …
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